20 October 2022 | Other

The Canadian dollar falls as hopes for inflation to peak fade

Due to the fact that the US dollar shows a general increase, there is a weakening of the Canadian dollar against the US currency. Nevertheless, with the release of up-to-date data on inflation within the country, which caused growing expectations of a new significant increase in the interest rate by the Bank of Canada, there was a containment of the fall of the official currency of Canada.

Adam Button, chief currency analyst at ForexLive, said that the US currency is truly on the warpath. In his opinion, expectations regarding the peak of global inflation in the fall are not justified, and to see the reaction of central banks to this, one must wait.

Negative sentiment among investors were aggravated by new comments of officials-"hawks" from the Fed.

In September, annual inflation in Canada fell to 6.9%, being one step ahead of analysts' forecasts of 6.8%, while price pressure measures could not be eased.

The probability that the central bank will raise interest rates by three-quarters of a percentage point during the next meeting of the Bank of Canada, scheduled for October 26, is estimated by money markets at 69%. Before the publication of the data, this value was approximately 30%.

Button also added that the Canadian dollar would be much lower if it were not for oil.

Canada is one of the largest oil exporters in the world.

Company MarketCheese
Period: 24.10.2025 Expectation: 1600 pips
GBPUSD is poised to retest 1.34800
Yesterday at 10:38 AM 24
Period: 31.10.2025 Expectation: 600 pips
Break below 0.908 could send AUDCAD to autumn lows
Yesterday at 07:30 AM 24
Period: 24.10.2025 Expectation: 290 pips
Brent crude to rebound to $62.90
Yesterday at 07:21 AM 24
Period: 30.11.2025 Expectation: 2500 pips
Buying NVIDIA shares upon return to $170 support
16 October 2025 58
Period: 23.10.2025 Expectation: 28500 pips
Opening long positions on ETHUSD as buying interest recovers
16 October 2025 51
Period: 20.10.2025 Expectation: 1500 pips
Buying GBPUSD on weaker US dollar and potentially positive UK data
16 October 2025 41
Go to forecasts