24 November 2022 | Other

Consumers still lack confidence in the U.S. economy in the run-up to the holiday season

The state of the U.S. economy is considered to be uncertain ahead of the holiday season. 

The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index hit 56.8, as of November. The indicator exceeded market forecasts of 54.7, while being lower than 59.9 recorded in October. In fact, the Refinitiv consensus estimate suggested the index could reach 55. 

The market witnesses factors that hinder the growth of consumer activity. These include income resilience, particularly among low-wage workers, contributing to their resistance to price spikes. This is reported by Joanna Hsu, director of consumer surveys at the University of Michigan. However, weaker labor market conditions might be pushing shoppers to cut spending in the short term. The wealthiest households, for instance, have already seen stock markets plummet, depressing home values and having a negative impact on their willingness to spend. 

The survey showed that consumers felt pressure to buy real estate, cars, and other luxury goods as a result of rising interest rates. Earlier, the Federal Reserve (Fed) tightened monetary policy in an attempt to combat high inflation in the US with a series of successive interest rate hikes.

Company MarketCheese
Period: 21.11.2025 Expectation: 1078 pips
GBPUSD falls as bullish pressure fades and budget risks loom
14 November 2025 26
Brent sell
Period: 28.11.2025 Expectation: 300 pips
Brent crude capped by $65–$66 resistance
14 November 2025 30
Period: 21.11.2025 Expectation: 660 pips
AUDCAD may enter short-term correction
14 November 2025 28
Period: 21.11.2025 Expectation: 800 pips
Selling SPX as risk-off mood kicks in
14 November 2025 19
Period: 20.11.2025 Expectation: 280 pips
Fading bullish momentum is good reason to sell natural gas
13 November 2025 50
Period: 31.12.2025 Expectation: 800 pips
USDCAD with 1.4090 play is worth buying
13 November 2025 57
Go to forecasts