24 November 2022 | Other

Consumers still lack confidence in the U.S. economy in the run-up to the holiday season

The state of the U.S. economy is considered to be uncertain ahead of the holiday season. 

The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index hit 56.8, as of November. The indicator exceeded market forecasts of 54.7, while being lower than 59.9 recorded in October. In fact, the Refinitiv consensus estimate suggested the index could reach 55. 

The market witnesses factors that hinder the growth of consumer activity. These include income resilience, particularly among low-wage workers, contributing to their resistance to price spikes. This is reported by Joanna Hsu, director of consumer surveys at the University of Michigan. However, weaker labor market conditions might be pushing shoppers to cut spending in the short term. The wealthiest households, for instance, have already seen stock markets plummet, depressing home values and having a negative impact on their willingness to spend. 

The survey showed that consumers felt pressure to buy real estate, cars, and other luxury goods as a result of rising interest rates. Earlier, the Federal Reserve (Fed) tightened monetary policy in an attempt to combat high inflation in the US with a series of successive interest rate hikes.

Company MarketCheese
Period: 17.08.2026 Expectation: 650 pips
Selling AUDCAD down to 0.97500
Today at 10:07 AM 2
Period: 24.07.2026 Expectation: 950 pips
USDCAD is bottoming out after recent pullback from July highs
Today at 07:21 AM 14
Period: 01.08.2026 Expectation: 2400 pips
GBPUSD sell-off targets 1.31500
Today at 06:18 AM 11
Gold sell
Period: 31.07.2026 Expectation: 250 pips
Selling gold down to $4,000
Today at 06:13 AM 12
Period: 23.07.2026 Expectation: 1090 pips
USDJPY sell-off targets 161.030 amid lower market volatility and higher inflation expectations in Japan
Yesterday at 11:09 AM 17
Period: 16.08.2026 Expectation: 285 pips
Sell ETHUSD with $1,500 in sight
Yesterday at 09:34 AM 18
Go to forecasts