24 November 2022 | Other

Consumers still lack confidence in the U.S. economy in the run-up to the holiday season

The state of the U.S. economy is considered to be uncertain ahead of the holiday season. 

The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index hit 56.8, as of November. The indicator exceeded market forecasts of 54.7, while being lower than 59.9 recorded in October. In fact, the Refinitiv consensus estimate suggested the index could reach 55. 

The market witnesses factors that hinder the growth of consumer activity. These include income resilience, particularly among low-wage workers, contributing to their resistance to price spikes. This is reported by Joanna Hsu, director of consumer surveys at the University of Michigan. However, weaker labor market conditions might be pushing shoppers to cut spending in the short term. The wealthiest households, for instance, have already seen stock markets plummet, depressing home values and having a negative impact on their willingness to spend. 

The survey showed that consumers felt pressure to buy real estate, cars, and other luxury goods as a result of rising interest rates. Earlier, the Federal Reserve (Fed) tightened monetary policy in an attempt to combat high inflation in the US with a series of successive interest rate hikes.

Company MarketCheese
Brent sell
Period: 21.07.2026 Expectation: 600 pips
Sell Brent crude with $78 target as post-rally correction looms
Today at 05:49 AM 3
Period: 31.07.2026 Expectation: 180 pips
Go short on ​​USDCAD with 1.41395 in sight
Today at 04:58 AM 5
Gold sell
Period: 31.08.2026 Expectation: 6000 pips
Selling gold down to $4,000
Today at 04:54 AM 5
Gold buy
Period: 13.06.2028 Expectation: 300 pips
Invest in gold with $4,350 in view
Yesterday at 11:02 AM 76
Period: 20.07.2026 Expectation: 1300 pips
SPX pulls back on profit-taking
Yesterday at 09:06 AM 31
Period: 20.07.2026 Expectation: 600 pips
EURUSD is under bearish paw ahead of US economic data release
Yesterday at 06:46 AM 34
Go to forecasts