18 March 2025 | Dollar

Philadelphia Fed reports worsening US labor market

Philadelphia Fed reports worsening US labor market

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia data shows that the state of the US labor market is deteriorating. The share of American employees moving directly from one job to another without a temporary period of unemployment has fallen down to a 4-year low. According to Bloomberg, these numbers have been declining for two and a half years. They are now close to the level seen in 2021, when the country's economy was struggling with the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Millions of Americans change jobs every month, based on the Philadelphia Fed's research. Employees who move directly from one employer to another are considered to be the most in demand. However, their share has long been declining. Most people experience a period of unemployment when switching jobs, Bloomberg commented.

Atlanta Fed officials also managed to capture some interesting wage dynamics across the country. Wage growth for those who stay at the same workplace has become higher than for those who change jobs. Previously, the trend used to be the opposite, Bloomberg reported.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Period: 24.06.2026 Expectation: 720 pips
USDCAD shows signs of continued rally after exiting overbought territory
Today at 12:00 PM 13
Period: 24.06.2026 Expectation: 750 pips
Buying EURUSD ahead of Fed rate decision
Today at 10:44 AM 18
Period: 01.07.2026 Expectation: 2200 pips
Invest in NVIDIA stock up to $230
Today at 10:32 AM 11
Period: 24.06.2026 Expectation: 160 pips
Natural gas caught between US heat and supply relief
Today at 06:38 AM 14
Period: 30.06.2026 Expectation: 1000 pips
Buy GBPUSD with 1.3500 in sight
Today at 04:00 AM 20
Period: 16.07.2026 Expectation: 4000 pips
Invest in Tesla stock with $450 target
Yesterday at 11:55 AM 28
Go to forecasts