18 March 2025 | Dollar

Philadelphia Fed reports worsening US labor market

Philadelphia Fed reports worsening US labor market

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia data shows that the state of the US labor market is deteriorating. The share of American employees moving directly from one job to another without a temporary period of unemployment has fallen down to a 4-year low. According to Bloomberg, these numbers have been declining for two and a half years. They are now close to the level seen in 2021, when the country's economy was struggling with the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Millions of Americans change jobs every month, based on the Philadelphia Fed's research. Employees who move directly from one employer to another are considered to be the most in demand. However, their share has long been declining. Most people experience a period of unemployment when switching jobs, Bloomberg commented.

Atlanta Fed officials also managed to capture some interesting wage dynamics across the country. Wage growth for those who stay at the same workplace has become higher than for those who change jobs. Previously, the trend used to be the opposite, Bloomberg reported.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Gold sell
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 4000 pips
Go short on gold with $4,300 in mind
Today at 04:54 AM 5
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 100 pips
Buy Brent crude upon breaking $104.60
Today at 04:54 AM 6
Period: 02.11.2026 Expectation: 1700 pips
GBPUSD sell-off targets 1.3200
22 September 2026 28
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 300 pips
Buying AUDCAD with 1.0000 in sight
21 September 2026 27
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 700 pips
Invest in USDJPY up to 157.70
21 September 2026 25
Gold sell
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 3000 pips
Gold sell-off targets $4,000
18 September 2026 48
Go to forecasts