18 March | Dollar

Philadelphia Fed reports worsening US labor market

Philadelphia Fed reports worsening US labor market

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia data shows that the state of the US labor market is deteriorating. The share of American employees moving directly from one job to another without a temporary period of unemployment has fallen down to a 4-year low. According to Bloomberg, these numbers have been declining for two and a half years. They are now close to the level seen in 2021, when the country's economy was struggling with the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Millions of Americans change jobs every month, based on the Philadelphia Fed's research. Employees who move directly from one employer to another are considered to be the most in demand. However, their share has long been declining. Most people experience a period of unemployment when switching jobs, Bloomberg commented.

Atlanta Fed officials also managed to capture some interesting wage dynamics across the country. Wage growth for those who stay at the same workplace has become higher than for those who change jobs. Previously, the trend used to be the opposite, Bloomberg reported.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Period: 20.11.2025 Expectation: 280 pips
Fading bullish momentum is good reason to sell natural gas
Yesterday at 11:27 AM 30
Period: 31.12.2025 Expectation: 800 pips
USDCAD with 1.4090 play is worth buying
Yesterday at 10:09 AM 27
Period: 21.11.2025 Expectation: 1500 pips
Potential currency interventions are not threat to USDJPY rally
Yesterday at 09:04 AM 21
Period: 20.11.2025 Expectation: 24600 pips
Buying Ethereum on strong fundamentals
Yesterday at 07:04 AM 19
Period: 19.11.2025 Expectation: 580 pips
EURUSD eyes another test of resistance after pullback
12 November 2025 61
Period: 18.11.2025 Expectation: 600 pips
USDCAD is set to test support at 1.395
12 November 2025 28
Go to forecasts