3 April | Silver | Gold

Exempting precious metals from US tariff plans led to sharp decline in arbitrage shipments

Exempting precious metals from US tariff plans led to sharp decline in arbitrage shipments

The months-long frenzy in the US precious metals market came to an end after the official announcement of the country's administration on the exemption of gold and silver from new trade duties. According to Bloomberg, the price differences between the US and other regions have narrowed sharply, making further supplies no longer economically feasible. The premium on gold fell from $62 to $23 an ounce, while for silver it dropped from more than $1 to 24 cents an ounce.

According to Anant Jatia at Greenland Investment Management, the sharp narrowing of the price differentials will stop the massive flow of precious metals into the US. Stockpiles accumulated since November, estimated at more than $80 billion, have significantly impacted the country's trade balance, the news agency said. Bloomberg analysts believe that this was the reason behind the record trade deficit in January.

The volume of precious metals imports in the US decreased by more than 70% compared to the peak values of December-January. According to Bloomberg, the existing stocks will be gradually absorbed by the market in the coming months, normalizing the situation in the US market.

Period: 19.09.2025 Expectation: 950 pips
GBPUSD is correcting after testing resistance
12 September 2025 355
Gold buy
Period: 31.12.2025 Expectation: 2400 pips
Buying gold from $3,450 support
12 September 2025 111
Period: 19.09.2025 Expectation: 1000 pips
AUDCAD poised for further gains after brief consolidation
12 September 2025 344
Period: 31.10.2025 Expectation: 6000 pips
Selling SPX prior to seasonal correction
12 September 2025 327
Brent sell
Period: 19.09.2025 Expectation: 188 pips
Supply glut puts pressure on Brent prices
12 September 2025 352
Period: 18.09.2025 Expectation: 160 pips
Buying gas with $3.150 target amid completing correction
11 September 2025 458
Go to forecasts