3 April 2025 | Silver | Gold

Exempting precious metals from US tariff plans led to sharp decline in arbitrage shipments

Exempting precious metals from US tariff plans led to sharp decline in arbitrage shipments

The months-long frenzy in the US precious metals market came to an end after the official announcement of the country's administration on the exemption of gold and silver from new trade duties. According to Bloomberg, the price differences between the US and other regions have narrowed sharply, making further supplies no longer economically feasible. The premium on gold fell from $62 to $23 an ounce, while for silver it dropped from more than $1 to 24 cents an ounce.

According to Anant Jatia at Greenland Investment Management, the sharp narrowing of the price differentials will stop the massive flow of precious metals into the US. Stockpiles accumulated since November, estimated at more than $80 billion, have significantly impacted the country's trade balance, the news agency said. Bloomberg analysts believe that this was the reason behind the record trade deficit in January.

The volume of precious metals imports in the US decreased by more than 70% compared to the peak values of December-January. According to Bloomberg, the existing stocks will be gradually absorbed by the market in the coming months, normalizing the situation in the US market.

Period: 28.11.2026 Expectation: 130 pips
Invest in SPX with 7,850 in view
Today at 10:52 AM 11
Period: 28.11.2026 Expectation: 4200 pips
Selling EURUSD down to 1.07000
Today at 09:37 AM 10
Period: 31.12.2026 Expectation: 60 pips
Buying Tesla stock up to $450
Yesterday at 11:06 AM 24
Brent sell
Period: 10.11.2026 Expectation: 400 pips
Brent crude sell-off targets $105
Yesterday at 08:48 AM 25
Period: 09.11.2026 Expectation: 1200 pips
Go short on EURUSD with 1.10000 in sight
26 October 2026 34
Gold buy
Period: 09.11.2026 Expectation: 265 pips
Invest in gold with $4,375 in view
26 October 2026 31
Go to forecasts