21 March | Other

Possibility of further rate hikes by Bank of Japan diminishes amid slow rate of inflation easing

Possibility of further rate hikes by Bank of Japan diminishes amid slow rate of inflation easing

Japan's Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications reported a 3.0% year-on-year increase in the country's consumer prices excluding the cost of fresh food for February. This represents a slowdown from January's figures of 3.2%.

Nonetheless, economists had forecast a more pronounced deceleration in price growth of 2.9%. At the same time, overall inflation in Japan also decelerated less than expected, falling to 3.7% from 4% in the previous month.

The data largely coincided with a leading indicator of inflation in Tokyo, which pointed to weaker inflation on the back of renewed energy subsidies.

Earlier this week, the Bank of Japan decided to leave interest rates unchanged as it needed to assess the impact of January's borrowing cost increase and the situation in the global economy. 

Most experts watching the regulator's policy anticipate a rate hike in June or July this year. Further rate hikes are supposed to be delivered about once every six months until the necessary degree of monetary policy tightening is achieved. Bloomberg notes that a slower deceleration in inflation could undermine these forecasts.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Period: 16.05.2025 Expectation: 700 pips
Silver prices started to rebound toward 33.6
Today at 11:15 AM 23
Period: 13.05.2025 Expectation: 900 pips
USDJPY seen retreating to 145.00
Today at 09:38 AM 15
Period: 18.05.2025 Expectation: 3085 pips
Trading optimism and technical signal reinforce S&P 500's upside outlook
Today at 08:18 AM 30
Elena_Dorokhina
Elena_Dorokhina

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Currencies"
Gold sell
Period: 19.05.2025 Expectation: 18000 pips
Selling gold amid de-escalation of trade tensions with target of 3100
Today at 06:52 AM 56
Period: 14.05.2025 Expectation: 1650 pips
Technical and fundamental background supports AUDCAD
07 May 2025 124
Elena_Dorokhina
Elena_Dorokhina

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Currencies"
Period: 08.05.2025 Expectation: 550 pips
EURUSD to drop to 1.13000
07 May 2025 77
Go to forecasts