21 March 2025 | Other

Possibility of further rate hikes by Bank of Japan diminishes amid slow rate of inflation easing

Possibility of further rate hikes by Bank of Japan diminishes amid slow rate of inflation easing

Japan's Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications reported a 3.0% year-on-year increase in the country's consumer prices excluding the cost of fresh food for February. This represents a slowdown from January's figures of 3.2%.

Nonetheless, economists had forecast a more pronounced deceleration in price growth of 2.9%. At the same time, overall inflation in Japan also decelerated less than expected, falling to 3.7% from 4% in the previous month.

The data largely coincided with a leading indicator of inflation in Tokyo, which pointed to weaker inflation on the back of renewed energy subsidies.

Earlier this week, the Bank of Japan decided to leave interest rates unchanged as it needed to assess the impact of January's borrowing cost increase and the situation in the global economy. 

Most experts watching the regulator's policy anticipate a rate hike in June or July this year. Further rate hikes are supposed to be delivered about once every six months until the necessary degree of monetary policy tightening is achieved. Bloomberg notes that a slower deceleration in inflation could undermine these forecasts.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Period: 28.10.2026 Expectation: 1500 pips
Invest in NVIDIA stock with $243 in view
Yesterday at 10:06 AM 19
Period: 22.10.2026 Expectation: 900 pips
EURUSD sell-off comes into play as US inflation runs hot
Yesterday at 09:01 AM 19
Period: 14.11.2026 Expectation: 3000 pips
Buying USDCAD amid Canada’s weak economic performance
Yesterday at 06:38 AM 34
Period: 13.11.2026 Expectation: 3100 pips
Go short on Bitcoin down to $80,500
13 October 2026 27
Gold buy
Period: 30.11.2026 Expectation: 10000 pips
Invest in gold from $4,150 per ounce
13 October 2026 28
Period: 13.11.2026 Expectation: 1400 pips
Buy AUDUSD with 0.71000 in sight
13 October 2026 42
Go to forecasts