17 April | Other

Unemployment in Australia rose ahead of US tariffs coming into effect

Unemployment in Australia rose ahead of US tariffs coming into effect

In March, the unemployment rate in Australia rose to 4.1% while employment grew by 32,200—below forecasts of an increase of 40,000. As noted by Bloomberg, this indicates a slight weakening of the country's labor market even before the effects of new US tariffs kick in.

The Australian dollar and the yields on three-year bonds, which are especially policy-sensitive, fell earlier as traders' expectations for a rate cut at the central bank's May meeting faded.

In the midst of escalating trade tensions, Australia's labor market and economy remain relatively stable, according to Krishna Bhimavarapu of State Street Global Advisors. However, the slowdown in China's economy may eventually affect them as well. According to the expert, the best option for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) now is to reduce rates.

Last week, the head of the RBA Michelle Bullock stressed the necessity to remain cautious and evaluate carefully the impact of the new US tariff regime. In her opinion, volatility in the market and economy will remain, although the Australian financial system is robust and able to withstand external shocks.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Period: 24.10.2025 Expectation: 1600 pips
GBPUSD is poised to retest 1.34800
17 October 2025 40
Period: 31.10.2025 Expectation: 600 pips
Break below 0.908 could send AUDCAD to autumn lows
17 October 2025 31
Period: 24.10.2025 Expectation: 290 pips
Brent crude to rebound to $62.90
17 October 2025 33
Period: 30.11.2025 Expectation: 2500 pips
Buying NVIDIA shares upon return to $170 support
16 October 2025 67
Period: 23.10.2025 Expectation: 28500 pips
Opening long positions on ETHUSD as buying interest recovers
16 October 2025 63
Period: 20.10.2025 Expectation: 1500 pips
Buying GBPUSD on weaker US dollar and potentially positive UK data
16 October 2025 49
Go to forecasts