23 April 2025 | Euro

Fall in German business activity fuels fears of economic downturn

Fall in German business activity fuels fears of economic downturn

According to S&P Global, Germany’s composite purchasing managers’ index (PMI) dropped to 49.7 in April, falling below the critical 50.0 threshold. The decline was seen in both the manufacturing and services sectors, with the latter hitting its lowest level in 14 months.

Cyrus de la Rubia of Hamburg Commercial Bank pointed out that the slowdown in services sector activity has been accompanied by a sharp decline in business optimism about future prospects. Concerns over global trade are weighing on investment decisions and consumer spending. However, the expert notes that despite these challenges, companies remain prepared to continue operating even under current conditions. Still, de la Rubia suggests additional stimulus measures may be needed to sustain economic resilience.

Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund is warning of significant risks to Germany's economy and projecting stagnation this year. German authorities are set to release updated forecasts on Thursday, which are expected to show zero GDP growth for the third consecutive year.

Period: 30.06.2026 Expectation: 3000 pips
Buy SPX if Producer Price Index stays cool
Today at 11:34 AM 16
Period: 11.07.2026 Expectation: 300 pips
Buying ETHUSD up to $1,950
Today at 11:30 AM 18
Gold sell
Period: 18.06.2026 Expectation: 1200 pips
Sell gold with $3,980 target during brief rebound
Today at 11:01 AM 19
Period: 11.07.2026 Expectation: 1500 pips
Invest in USDJPY ahead of BoJ meeting
Today at 10:00 AM 19
Period: 31.07.2026 Expectation: 800 pips
Invest in USDJPY up to 161.50
Today at 06:35 AM 16
Period: 31.07.2026 Expectation: 1900 pips
Selling GBPUSD down to 1,3200
Today at 06:35 AM 15
Go to forecasts