23 April 2025 | Euro

Fall in German business activity fuels fears of economic downturn

Fall in German business activity fuels fears of economic downturn

According to S&P Global, Germany’s composite purchasing managers’ index (PMI) dropped to 49.7 in April, falling below the critical 50.0 threshold. The decline was seen in both the manufacturing and services sectors, with the latter hitting its lowest level in 14 months.

Cyrus de la Rubia of Hamburg Commercial Bank pointed out that the slowdown in services sector activity has been accompanied by a sharp decline in business optimism about future prospects. Concerns over global trade are weighing on investment decisions and consumer spending. However, the expert notes that despite these challenges, companies remain prepared to continue operating even under current conditions. Still, de la Rubia suggests additional stimulus measures may be needed to sustain economic resilience.

Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund is warning of significant risks to Germany's economy and projecting stagnation this year. German authorities are set to release updated forecasts on Thursday, which are expected to show zero GDP growth for the third consecutive year.

Period: 30.11.2026 Expectation: 1000 pips
Buy AUDCAD from channel's lower boundary
Today at 10:04 AM 12
Period: 31.12.2026 Expectation: 1000 pips
Buy SPX up to $7,800
Today at 10:04 AM 12
Period: 01.11.2026 Expectation: 6300 pips
Go short on USDJPY as intervention odds rise
Today at 10:02 AM 10
Period: 01.11.2026 Expectation: 100 pips
Invest in ETHUSD with $2,790 target
Today at 06:30 AM 18
Period: 30.11.2026 Expectation: 5000 pips
Go long on USDJPY with 162.00 target as dollar strengthens
Today at 04:22 AM 14
Period: 07.10.2026 Expectation: 900 pips
Buy NVIDIA up to $236
Yesterday at 11:07 AM 23
Go to forecasts