11 April | Euro

Reuters poll: ECB to cut rates in April amid eurozone growth slowdown risks

Reuters poll: ECB to cut rates in April amid eurozone growth slowdown risks

A Reuters poll indicates the European Central Bank (ECB) will cut interest rates at its April 17 meeting, responding to easing inflation and slowing economic growth in the EU.

On Wednesday, the US president announced a 90-day pause on tariffs placed on countries. However, China faced a bigger trade barrier of 145%.

Still, 10% tariffs on nearly all US imports remain in effect. Furthermore, Trump's announcement leaves existing duties on automobiles, steel, and aluminum unchanged, maintaining downward pressure on Europe's GDP growth.

The euro's nearly 7% appreciation against the dollar this year is also putting downward pressure on EU inflation, reinforcing the ECB's case for continued rate cuts, according to Reuters.

Morgan Stanley analysts forecast a 25 basis point ECB rate cut in April. Strategists also anticipate eurozone’s economic growth to align with the central bank's projections.

Elena Dorohina MarketCheese
Period: 02.06.2025 Expectation: 450 pips
AUDCAD seen retreating to 0.88400
30 May 2025 57
Period: 06.06.2025 Expectation: 1400 pips
GBPUSD strengthens amid trade negotiations and weak US data
30 May 2025 46
Elizabeth_Kuzmicheva
Elizabeth_Kuzmicheva

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segments "Metals" and "Oil and gas"
Period: 13.06.2025 Expectation: 350 pips
Lack of unexpectedness during OPEC+ meeting can support Brent crude
30 May 2025 57
Period: 06.06.2025 Expectation: 1500 pips
Selling SPX on rising US consumer inflation
30 May 2025 32
Period: 13.06.2025 Expectation: 30000 pips
Buying ETHUSD with $3000 target with resistance breakout underway
29 May 2025 90
Period: 30.05.2025 Expectation: 100 pips
Natural gas depreciates due to temporary halt of Freeport LNG facility in Texas
29 May 2025 52
Go to forecasts