Ideas Markets Events Research
Close
search
Ideas
Markets
Events
Research
Nothing found
Select a section for which the search will be carried out
11 April 2025 | Euro

Bloomberg poll: ECB monetary policy now hinges on US President's tariff decisions

EURJPY
EURGBP
EURUSD
EURAUD
EURCAD
Bloomberg poll: ECB monetary policy now hinges on US President's tariff decisions

Experts polled by Bloomberg forecast two more interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB) this year—but warn that US tariff policy could ultimately dictate the central bank's moves. In their view, the US President's decisions may change the strategy of the European regulator and have a negative impact on the region's economic recovery.

The experts' baseline scenario suggests ECB rate cuts of 0.25% each in April and June and then a pause until the end of 2026. However, Donald Trump's first months in office proved how unpredictable his actions can be. Thus, the experts polled by the agency cannot rule out alternative scenarios.

According to AFS Interest analyst Arne Petimezas, Donald Trump has managed to establish control over ECB monetary policy through erratic import tariffs.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese

Recommended

United States. Manufacturing PMI. The value of the indicator has increased from 55.1 to 55.7
1 hour ago
United Kingdom. Composite PMI. The value of the indicator has decreased from 49.7 to 49.4
Today at 8:30 AM
United Kingdom. Manufacturing PMI. The value of the indicator has decreased from 53.9 to 53.1
Today at 8:30 AM
European Union. Markit Composite PMI. The value of the indicator has increased from 48.5 to 49.5
Today at 8:00 AM
European Union. Manufacturing PMI. The value of the indicator has decreased from 51.6 to 51.3
Today at 8:00 AM
Top news
European Union. Manufacturing PMI. The value of the indicator has decreased from 51.6 to 51.3
Today at 8:00 AM
United Kingdom. BoE Interest Rate Decision. The value of the indicator remained at the same level of 3.75%
18 June
Switzerland. SNB Interest Rate Decision. The value of the indicator remained at the same level of 0%
18 June
United States. Fed Interest Rate Decision. The value of the indicator remained at the same level of 3.75%
17 June
United States. Retail Sales (MoM). The value of the indicator has increased from 0.4% to 0.9%
17 June
All news

Forecasts

AUDUSD sell
Period: 30.06.2026 Expectation: 1000 pips
Selling AUDUSD during corrective rebound to 0.69900
FA Other Technical analysis Chart analysis Indicators Fundamental analysis
Today at 10:29 AM 19
Lyra_Moonwell1
Brent sell
Period: 30.06.2026 Expectation: 650 pips
Go short on Brent crude as Strait of Hormuz reopens
Indicators and reports FA Other Hot news Chart analysis
Today at 09:26 AM 17
Sinclair_John
Tesla Inc buy
Period: 23.07.2026 Expectation: 3000 pips
Invest in Tesla stock with $435 in sight
Indicators and reports FA Other Hot news Chart analysis
Today at 09:13 AM 12
Reed_Marcus
BTCUSD sell
Period: 30.06.2026 Expectation: 4000 pips
Sell Bitcoin with $60,000 target as bullish momentum fades
Indicators and reports Technical analysis Hot news Indicators Fundamental analysis
Today at 06:29 AM 14
Emily_Foster
S&P 500 buy
Period: 30.06.2026 Expectation: 650 pips
Buying SPX with 7,550 in mind
TA Other FA Other
Yesterday at 11:49 AM 42
Bruce_Powers
EURUSD sell
Period: 31.07.2026 Expectation: 1300 pips
EURUSD sell-off targets 1.1325
TA Other FA Other
Yesterday at 11:49 AM 18
McCarthy_Raymond
Go to forecasts