5 May | Euro

European Union inflation holds above central bank's target level

European Union inflation holds above central bank's target level

Bloomberg reports that the eurozone inflation rate remained above the European Central Bank’s (ECB) target in April. 

Eurostat says the consumer price index rose 2.2% year-on-year last month. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expected inflation to slow to 2.1%. The core index also exceeded analysts' forecasts, coming in at 2.7%. Additionally, price growth in the service sector accelerated in April due to the holidays, yet this effect is set to reverse this month, the news agency notes. 

ECB officials say disruptions in global trade caused by US President Donald Trump's tariff policies will affect prices in the eurozone. Slower GDP growth, cheaper energy, and a stronger euro are expected to tame inflationary pressures. Moreover, Bloomberg Economics estimates that an inflow of Chinese goods to the European Union could reduce prices in the region by 0.5–1.5%.

The German bank KfW forecasts consumer inflation to stabilize near the ECB’s target of 2% in the medium term. According to experts, this will also allow the regulator to cut interest rates at its June meeting.

Elena Dorohina MarketCheese
Period: 02.06.2025 Expectation: 450 pips
AUDCAD seen retreating to 0.88400
30 May 2025 56
Period: 06.06.2025 Expectation: 1400 pips
GBPUSD strengthens amid trade negotiations and weak US data
30 May 2025 46
Elizabeth_Kuzmicheva
Elizabeth_Kuzmicheva

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segments "Metals" and "Oil and gas"
Period: 13.06.2025 Expectation: 350 pips
Lack of unexpectedness during OPEC+ meeting can support Brent crude
30 May 2025 57
Period: 06.06.2025 Expectation: 1500 pips
Selling SPX on rising US consumer inflation
30 May 2025 32
Period: 13.06.2025 Expectation: 30000 pips
Buying ETHUSD with $3000 target with resistance breakout underway
29 May 2025 90
Period: 30.05.2025 Expectation: 100 pips
Natural gas depreciates due to temporary halt of Freeport LNG facility in Texas
29 May 2025 52
Go to forecasts