15 May 2025 | Other

Strong labor market supports Australian currency ahead of RBA meeting

Strong labor market supports Australian currency ahead of RBA meeting

Last month, Australia saw an increase in the employment rate to 89,000 at the same time as the unemployment remained at the current level of 4.1%. According to Bloomberg, the statistics could change expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) monetary policy.

These changes had a positive influence on the Australian currency and at the same time caused an increase in yields on three-year government bonds. The latter, in turn, reached the maximum level for the last 6 weeks. This happened due to the decrease in investors' forecasts regarding the reduction of interest rate by the country's financial regulator.

As stated by Damien McColough, head of fixed income at Westpac Banking Corp, such changes are positive for the economy and cast doubt on the country's future monetary policy shifts.

Earlier, after the Donald Trump administration imposed tariffs, market participants' expectations for the interest rate were unfavorable in terms of the currency's strength. Many predicted five rate cuts and did not rule out a possibility of the sixth cut.

Company MarketCheese
Period: 12.11.2026 Expectation: 5500 pips
Selling silver down to $55.50
Yesterday at 11:12 AM 15
Period: 26.10.2026 Expectation: 165 pips
Go long on SPX with 8,000 target
Yesterday at 07:08 AM 23
Period: 30.11.2026 Expectation: 1600 pips
Go short on USDJPY from 159.115 level
Yesterday at 05:36 AM 33
Period: 23.10.2026 Expectation: 470 pips
Buying Brent crude with $106.00 in mind
09 October 2026 41
Period: 09.11.2026 Expectation: 3000 pips
Invest in USDCAD up to 1.45000
09 October 2026 50
Period: 29.10.2026 Expectation: 800 pips
Sell GBPUSD down to 1.3180
08 October 2026 75
Go to forecasts