16 May | Euro

Trade tensions combined with high debt pose risks to EU economy — Luis De Guindos

Trade tensions combined with high debt pose risks to EU economy — Luis De Guindos

Luis de Guindos, the vice president of the European Central Bank (ECB), named three main risks to the eurozone economy. In his opinion, these are global trade tensions, financial market volatility, and high government debt.

The official said that US tariffs combined with increased defense spending could limit the fiscal ability to protect the EU economy from shocks and address structural problems.

Since the US announced tariffs in early April, equity markets have regained some ground. However, de Guindos suggests that investors may be underestimating the extent of uncertainty.

ECB's vice president adds that trade tensions will affect EU GDP growth through lower confidence. Even if the authorities manage to mitigate the situation, companies and households are likely to reduce spending as a precautionary measure.

Furthermore, according to de Guindos, the bloc's governments will boost spending to support economic growth and meet increased defense commitments. However, their debt levels are already high, and the additional costs of servicing it could negatively impact public finances.

Elena Dorokhina MarketCheese
Period: 10.11.2025 Expectation: 1300 pips
Selling GBPUSD down to 1.30160
Yesterday at 10:28 AM 21
Period: 14.11.2025 Expectation: 300 pips
Golden cross signals potential gas rally
Yesterday at 08:51 AM 51
Period: 11.11.2025 Expectation: 600 pips
USDCAD is poised to test six-month high at 1.417
05 November 2025 47
Period: 30.04.2026 Expectation: 11000 pips
GBPUSD selloff on weaker UK economic data
05 November 2025 25
Period: 31.12.2025 Expectation: 3000 pips
Selling EURUSD with 1.1350 in view
05 November 2025 35
Period: 07.11.2025 Expectation: 2100 pips
Silver set to resume downtrend after correction
01 November 2025 116
Go to forecasts