19 May 2025 | Euro

ECB's Wunsch assumes regulator may cut rates below 2% level

ECB's Wunsch assumes regulator may cut rates below 2% level

Pierre Wunsch, the head of the central bank of Belgium, suggests that the European regulator will probably have to cut interest rates to just under 2%, citing global trade tensions that create risks of rising inflation and a slowing economy.

Known previously for his hawkish stance, Wunsch said that recent turmoil and uncertainty could justify a soft, supportive monetary policy. He does not rule out cutting the deposit rate below the current level of 2.25%. At the same time, policymaker sees no reason to reduce borrowing costs by half a point in the foreseeable future, calling for caution in easing.

According to Reuters, markets estimate a 90% probability of an ECB rate cut on June 5 with one more additional move before the end of the year. Thus, the central bank's deposit rate could reach 1.75% by the end of December.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Gold sell
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 3000 pips
Gold sell-off targets $4,000
Yesterday at 08:04 AM 20
Period: 30.11.2026 Expectation: 5700 pips
Selling USDJPY down to 150.00
Yesterday at 08:04 AM 15
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 1500 pips
Invest in GBPUSD up to 1.36270
17 September 2026 30
Period: 15.10.2026 Expectation: 1000 pips
Selling SPX down to $7,490
16 September 2026 41
Brent sell
Period: 15.10.2026 Expectation: 800 pips
Brent crude sell-off targets $95.80
16 September 2026 30
Gold sell
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 18000 pips
Go short on gold upon breaking $4,300
15 September 2026 55
Go to forecasts