18 June 2025 | Other

Decline in Japan's export raises recession risks amid US tariff imposition

Decline in Japan's export raises recession risks amid US tariff imposition

Japan's exports declined for the first time in eight months. The trump administration’s tariffs have negatively impacted global trade, raising risks of a technical recession in the Asian nation following an economic contraction earlier this year, Bloomberg reports.

According to Japan's Ministry of Finance, exports declined by 1.7% year-on-year in value terms in May, primarily due to reduced shipments of automobiles and steel.

Japan's imports dropped by 7.7%, with the sharpest declines seen in crude oil and coal shipments. The trade deficit stood at 637.6 billion yen ($4.39 billion).

Earlier, US President Donald Trump imposed a 25% tariff on Japanese vehicles and auto parts imports, along with a baseline 10% tax on all other Japanese goods. In early June, American administration doubled steel and aluminum duties to 50%.

The tariffs will remain in effect as Donald Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba failed to reach an agreement after two months of negotiations, Bloomberg notes.

Overall exports to the US fell 11.1% while imports slumped 13.5%, resulting in a trade surplus of 451.7 billion yen ($3.11 billion).

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Period: 14.05.2026 Expectation: 6400 pips
SPX bulls target $7,200
Yesterday at 10:48 AM 29
Period: 07.05.2026 Expectation: 103 pips
Invest in ETHUSD with $2,350 target if key support holds post-correction
Yesterday at 09:32 AM 34
Gold buy
Period: 14.05.2026 Expectation: 190 pips
Go long on gold with $4,750 in sight
Yesterday at 08:42 AM 27
Period: 07.05.2026 Expectation: 1300 pips
Buying USDJPY with 162.000 target as BOJ offers yen no lifeline
Yesterday at 08:23 AM 20
Period: 31.05.2026 Expectation: 1000 pips
Go long on AUDCAD toward 0.9900
Yesterday at 07:52 AM 12
Period: 31.05.2026 Expectation: 500 pips
Buy Brent crude up to $115.0
Yesterday at 07:52 AM 29
Go to forecasts