3 June 2025 | Dollar

US manufacturing activity declined for third consecutive month in May

US manufacturing activity declined for third consecutive month in May

US manufacturing activity declined for the third straight month in May, while imports plunged to a 16-year low as American companies cut production amid rising tariffs, according to Bloomberg.

The US Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index compiled by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) fell by 0.2 points to 48.5 last month. A reading below 50 indicates declining activity.

Meanwhile, US imports plummeted 7.2 points to 39.9, marking one of the steepest drops on record. This dramatic reversal contrasts sharply with activity earlier this year when companies rushed to stockpile foreign goods ahead of new tariffs. The export index dropped to a five-year low, which Bloomberg analysts attribute to retaliatory measures from other nations.

Nevertheless, ISM remains cautiously optimistic, anticipating a stabilization in US trade policy. The institute's analysts argue the American economy retains strong potential for sustained long-term growth.

Elena Dorokhina MarketCheese
Period: 28.09.2026 Expectation: 4000 pips
Buy USDCAD while US inflation remains sticky
Yesterday at 08:07 AM 34
Period: 11.08.2026 Expectation: 740 pips
Go long on Brent crude up to $95
Yesterday at 06:14 AM 36
Period: 27.09.2026 Expectation: 4650 pips
Invest in USDJPY up to its all-time high of 164.00
27 August 2026 46
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 500 pips
Sell ​​GBPUSD down to 1.3540
27 August 2026 26
Gold buy
Period: 10.09.2026 Expectation: 300 pips
Buy gold with $4,900 in sight
27 August 2026 44
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 250 pips
Buying EURUSD from 1.1650
26 August 2026 36
Go to forecasts