2 July 2025 | Other

Weak Australian retail sales boost chances of RBA rate cut — Reuters

Weak Australian retail sales boost chances of RBA rate cut — Reuters

According to Reuters, Australian retail sales growth remained nearly flat in May, marking the fourth consecutive month of sluggish performance. While clothing purchases increased, they were offset by a decline in food sales. The Australian dollar weakened by 0.2% to $0.6569 in response.

Consequently, markets are pricing in a 97% likelihood that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will announce a 25-basis-point rate cut at its meeting next Tuesday. This expectation is further supported by persistently weak economic growth and low inflation risks. Since February, the RBA has already reduced borrowing costs twice, Reuters notes.

Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) revealed a 0.2% month-on-month increase in retail sales for May, falling short of the expected 0.4% growth. Total sales reached 37.3 billion Australian dollars ($24.5 billion), up 3.3% year-on-year.

Elena Dorokhina MarketCheese
Gold buy
Period: 30.11.2026 Expectation: 10000 pips
Invest in gold from $4,150 per ounce
Today at 07:51 AM
Period: 13.11.2026 Expectation: 1400 pips
Buy AUDUSD with 0.71000 in sight
Today at 07:19 AM 3
Period: 12.11.2026 Expectation: 5500 pips
Selling silver down to $55.50
Yesterday at 11:12 AM 17
Period: 26.10.2026 Expectation: 165 pips
Go long on SPX with 8,000 target
Yesterday at 07:08 AM 27
Period: 30.11.2026 Expectation: 1600 pips
Go short on USDJPY from 159.115 level
Yesterday at 05:36 AM 41
Period: 23.10.2026 Expectation: 470 pips
Buying Brent crude with $106.00 in mind
09 October 2026 41
Go to forecasts