4 July 2025 | Euro

Declining German factory orders signal persistent trade uncertainty

Declining German factory orders signal persistent trade uncertainty

In May, Germany's factory orders fell by 1.4% compared to the previous month, marking the first decline in four months. The drop was sharper than economists polled by Bloomberg had expected.

The downturn was primarily driven by cautious local businesses holding off on major capital expenditures amid unresolved trade tensions between the EU and the US. Domestic orders for investment goods took a particularly sharp hit, plunging 12.7%, while orders from abroad actually rose by 2.9%.

The Bundesbank's latest analysis suggests the economy could recover if trade negotiations succeed. Yet with uncertainty persisting, many firms are already scaling back their plans.

German Economics Ministry officials, commenting on the situation, noted positive long-term trends while acknowledging significant short-term volatility. Authorities emphasized that the risk of renewed demand slowdown will persist through the year-end.

Gold sell
Period: 28.06.2026 Expectation: 400 pips
Selling gold upon breaking below support
Today at 12:11 PM 34
Period: 31.08.2026 Expectation: 5000 pips
Invest in USDJPY from 155.00
Today at 11:49 AM 24
Period: 04.06.2026 Expectation: 31500 pips
Buying Ethereum with $2,300 target if key $2,000 support holds
Today at 10:03 AM 20
Period: 11.06.2026 Expectation: 200 pips
Invest in SPX with 7,700 in sight
Today at 09:41 AM 13
Period: 04.06.2026 Expectation: 1750 pips
Selling USDJPY with 157.95 target in anticipation of another BoJ intervention
Today at 06:18 AM 22
Period: 27.06.2026 Expectation: 1440 pips
Selling EURUSD down to 1.15000
Yesterday at 11:13 AM 30
Go to forecasts