19 December 2022 | Other

Investors expect Bank of England to finish rate hike in March

According to the Bank of England survey, 60 major financial companies expect the end of the upward cycle in March. At the same time, rates are projected to rise to 4.25%, up from 3.5% in December. 

The rate forecast in the survey is below the established level in the financial markets, where the assumed rate peaks at 4.75% by August 2023. This difference may reflect that interest rate futures take into account the risk of an unexpected increase.

The Bank of England has said that it may need to raise rates further to make sure the rate of inflation declines to its target level.

Nevertheless, many economists focused on splitting the vote for Thursday's decision to raise rates by 0.5%. Two policymakers opposed a rate hike altogether, while one called for a repeat of November's 0.75% increase.

Market participants said they expected inflation to fall to 5.5% in one year, 3% in two years, and 2% in three years. This downward tendency is considered slower than the Bank of England's forecast.

Company MarketCheese
Period: 08.06.2026 Expectation: 1500 pips
Investing in USDCAD with target of 1.38000
08 May 2026 78
Period: 15.05.2026 Expectation: 1120 pips
Geopolitics and technicals join forces to cap AUDUSD
08 May 2026 57
Period: 22.05.2026 Expectation: 1000 pips
Buying Brent oil with $115 in sight
08 May 2026 85
Period: 31.05.2026 Expectation: 900 pips
Invest in GBPUSD up to 1.3650
08 May 2026 39
Period: 15.05.2026 Expectation: 1150 pips
GBPUSD is weighed down by geopolitical tensions and UK political crisis
08 May 2026 44
Period: 30.06.2026 Expectation: 25000 pips
Selling Tesla shares down to $375
08 May 2026 39
Go to forecasts