20 December 2022 | Other

Australia's housing market is going to struggle with fixed-rate mortgages in 2023

The slump in Australia's real estate market, recorded after the COVID-19 pandemic, is likely to worsen next year. This is due to the need to cover mortgages taken in 2020-21, when interest rates reached their all-time lows. So, borrowers are being forced to refinance their loans at extremely high interest rates.

Home loan payments have now hit $370 billion ($245.79 billion). This indicator may rise by another two-thirds. But real incomes have been shrinking amid soaring inflation in the country. These factors seem to be weighing on housing costs in Australia, as well as consumer spending, which is seen as a key driver of the economy.

Home values in Sydney have fallen 12% this year. Eliza Owen, head of research at CoreLogic, said that the level is likely to keep sliding, since the number of properties for sale is growing.

The expert mentioned that most borrowers will be able to pay off their mortgages. But if there is a rise in arrears, being at a record low at the moment, the real estate market is going to see a supply upturn.

Company MarketCheese
Period: 14.05.2025 Expectation: 1650 pips
Technical and fundamental background supports AUDCAD
07 May 2025 62
Elena_Dorokhina
Elena_Dorokhina

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Currencies"
Period: 08.05.2025 Expectation: 550 pips
EURUSD to drop to 1.13000
07 May 2025 50
Period: 13.05.2025 Expectation: 240 pips
Brent crude price rebound to continue up to 65
07 May 2025 52
Period: 14.05.2025 Expectation: 1000 pips
Buying GBPUSD amid trade talks and weaker dollar with target at 1.344
07 May 2025 31
Period: 12.05.2025 Expectation: 1500 pips
USDJPY rebound fades ahead of Fed meeting
06 May 2025 64
Period: 30.05.2025 Expectation: 975 pips
Natural gas maintains upside potential within megaphone pattern
06 May 2025 67
Go to forecasts