4 October 2022 | Other

S&P 500 grows due to hopes of slowdown in pace of Fed rate hikes

Last Monday, significant increasing of S&P 500 was registered, which was connected to a possible prospect of the Fed slowing down its pace of interest rate hikes. Such hopes were driven by noted signs of economic growth getting slower.

A more optimistic outlook on the Fed’s monetary policy was sparked by two recent economic reports, which provided weaker figures than it was expected before. According to the obtained data, manufacturing activity has surprisingly declined, while activity in construction turned out to be worse than it was initially feared. The increased optimism suggests that the Federal Reserve System of the U.S. might consider changing its main policy direction to stop the economy from falling into severe recession.

There was also a notable decline in treasury yields due to investors’ expectations of the Fed choosing a less hawkish approach in its tightening of monetary policy.

The 10-year Treasury yield has decreased from a level which was a record high for more than a decade. The further falling is also possible. As it was stated by Janney Montgomery Scott, the continuing decline is likely to happen due to it remaining “very overbought on a short-term basis”.

Company MarketCheese
Period: 23.07.2026 Expectation: 1090 pips
USDJPY sell-off targets 161.030 amid lower market volatility and higher inflation expectations in Japan
Yesterday at 11:09 AM 14
Period: 16.08.2026 Expectation: 285 pips
Sell ETHUSD with $1,500 in sight
Yesterday at 09:34 AM 17
Period: 30.07.2026 Expectation: 100 pips
Invest in SPX on slower US inflation
Yesterday at 09:34 AM 26
Gold buy
Period: 23.07.2026 Expectation: 170 pips
Go long on gold with $4,200 target as institutions accumulate
Yesterday at 06:49 AM 37
Period: 29.07.2026 Expectation: 1800 pips
Selling EURUSD down to 1.12500
15 July 2026 41
Period: 31.07.2026 Expectation: 150 pips
Buying Brent crude up to $78.50 per barrel
15 July 2026 39
Go to forecasts