1 April 2025 | S&P 500

S&P 500 posts worst quarterly performance since 2022 amid Trump tariff uncertainty

S&P 500 posts worst quarterly performance since 2022 amid Trump tariff uncertainty

The S&P 500 recorded its worst quarterly performance since 2022 on Monday, with Reuters attributing the slump to ongoing uncertainty about US President Donald Trump's trade policies. The tariff concerns weighed heavily on US equity markets throughout the first quarter.

The S&P 500 dropped 4.6% last quarter, dragged down primarily by a tech sector selloff. Tesla and Nvidia led the declines, plunging 36% and 20% respectively. Despite this, most of the index's eleven sectors posted gains, led by energy's 9.3% increase.

Due to tariff uncertainty, Goldman Sachs has raised the probability of a US recession from 20% to 35% while cutting its year-end S&P 500 target to 5,700. The bank also anticipates more interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

Elena Dorokhina MarketCheese
Period: 30.01.2026 Expectation: 600 pips
AUDCAD trend holds firm on upbeat Australian reports
Yesterday at 11:16 AM 40
Lyra_Moonwell1
Lyra_Moonwell1

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
Brent sell
Period: 30.01.2026 Expectation: 100 pips
Brent's rally stalls as upside is limited by $65–$66 resistance
Yesterday at 10:17 AM 48
Period: 28.02.2026 Expectation: 3000 pips
Buying EURUSD on weak US GDP print
Yesterday at 10:04 AM 32
Period: 30.01.2026 Expectation: 1110 pips
GBPUSD’s rally is capped despite eased geopolitical stress
Yesterday at 08:50 AM 20
Period: 29.01.2026 Expectation: 690 pips
NG selloff targets $4.400 ahead of reaching local high
22 January 2026 56
Lyra_Moonwell1
Lyra_Moonwell1

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
Period: 29.01.2026 Expectation: 15200 pips
Investing in ETHUSD up to $3,170 on US-EU trade relief
22 January 2026 56
Go to forecasts