1 April 2025 | S&P 500

S&P 500 posts worst quarterly performance since 2022 amid Trump tariff uncertainty

S&P 500 posts worst quarterly performance since 2022 amid Trump tariff uncertainty

The S&P 500 recorded its worst quarterly performance since 2022 on Monday, with Reuters attributing the slump to ongoing uncertainty about US President Donald Trump's trade policies. The tariff concerns weighed heavily on US equity markets throughout the first quarter.

The S&P 500 dropped 4.6% last quarter, dragged down primarily by a tech sector selloff. Tesla and Nvidia led the declines, plunging 36% and 20% respectively. Despite this, most of the index's eleven sectors posted gains, led by energy's 9.3% increase.

Due to tariff uncertainty, Goldman Sachs has raised the probability of a US recession from 20% to 35% while cutting its year-end S&P 500 target to 5,700. The bank also anticipates more interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

Elena Dorokhina MarketCheese
Period: 13.02.2026 Expectation: 1500 pips
GBPUSD temporarily recovers following BoE rate decision
06 February 2026 27
Lyra_Moonwell1
Lyra_Moonwell1

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
Period: 31.07.2026 Expectation: 1000 pips
Buying ETHUSD on major dip
06 February 2026 34
Period: 31.05.2026 Expectation: 30000 pips
Investing in silver for medium term
06 February 2026 28
Brent sell
Period: 13.02.2026 Expectation: 210 pips
Brent crude stabilizes as geopolitical premium fades away
06 February 2026 22
Period: 12.02.2026 Expectation: 25000 pips
Selling ETHUSD when it bounces up to $2,250 resistance
05 February 2026 27
Lyra_Moonwell1
Lyra_Moonwell1

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
Period: 31.03.2026 Expectation: 220 pips
Buy SPX starting from $6,820
05 February 2026 36
Go to forecasts