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A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of USD.

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Dollar continues to decline amid risks to Federal Reserve independence

The dollar continues to weaken as investors grow increasingly concerned about potential threats to the Federal Reserve's independence. Expectations of monetary policy easing by the Fed are adding further pressure to the greenback, according to Reuters.

27 June 2025
Dollar continues to decline amid risks to Federal Reserve independence
Most Fed officials oppose July rate cuts

This week, Federal Reserve officials said they will closely monitor the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the next few months. They argue that this is key to evaluating the long-term inflationary effects of Donald Trump’s trade tariffs.

27 June 2025
Most Fed officials oppose July rate cuts
Dollar falls to 3.5-year low on expectations of US Federal Reserve rate cut

On Friday, the dollar is hovering near its lowest level in three and a half years against the euro and sterling amid traders' reassessment of the US Central Bank's monetary policy prospects.

27 June 2025
Dollar falls to 3.5-year low on expectations of US Federal Reserve rate cut
United States. Real Consumer Spending. The value of the indicator has decreased from 1.2% to 0.5%

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of USD.

26 June 2025
United States. GDP (QoQ). The value of the indicator has decreased from -0.2% to -0.5%

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of USD.

26 June 2025
Investopedia survey: US core PCE index to rise 0.1% in May

According to forecasts by experts surveyed by Investopedia, the US core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, excluding food and energy, is expected to have risen by 0.1% month-over-month in May. The annual rate is anticipated at 2.6%, slightly above April’s 2.5%.

26 June 2025
Investopedia survey: US core PCE index to rise 0.1% in May
JPMorgan analysts see ‘stagflationary’ slowdown in US economy this year due to tariffs

According to JPMorgan's forecasts, US GDP growth will be 1.3% in 2025. This is lower than the bank's estimates, published at the start of the year. As it was noted by the bank's experts, the economy of the United States will come under pressure from Donald Trump's import tariffs.

26 June 2025
JPMorgan analysts see ‘stagflationary’ slowdown in US economy this year due to tariffs
Expectations of sooner Fed cut send US dollar down

The greenback dropped as expectations grew of sooner monetary easing in the US. The Bloomberg dollar index fell 0.2% to a record low since April 2022.

26 June 2025
Expectations of sooner Fed cut send US dollar down
White House expects $11 trillion reduction in US budget deficit through Trump's measures

According to White House chief economist Stephen Miran, President Donald Trump's policies will reduce the US budget deficit by up $11 trillion over the next ten years.

26 June 2025
White House expects $11 trillion reduction in US budget deficit through Trump's measures
Investors expect US 10-year bond yields to fall to record lows

Traders are boosting bets on a decline in the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds, expecting them to drop to four percent. Total bets have exceeded $38 million of worth over the past two days.

25 June 2025
Investors expect US 10-year bond yields to fall to record lows

The dollar is the monetary unit of the United States (US). It is also used as the official currency by some other countries (Ecuador, Zimbabwe, El Salvador). The dollar holds a leading position in the world economy.

At the moment, the dollar dominates the system of international settlements with almost 50% share (the euro ranks second with less than 25%). Meanwhile, the dollar's dominance is even more pronounced in the financial sector, on the foreign exchange market, and in the government reserves.

The US currency (USD) quotes, as well as those of its foreign counterparts, depend primarily on the economic and political situation in the issuing country. The US authorities, such as the Federal Reserve System (the Fed) and the Department of the Treasury, influence the dollar exchange rate by changing their monetary, fiscal, budget, and tax policies. 

Moreover, the value of the dollar may be significantly affected by the latest news and the international situation. Global economic problems and rising geopolitical tensions have historically been favorable for the US currency, as investors consider it one of the major safe-haven assets, along with gold. In contrast, during periods of strong economic growth and a relatively calm global environment, the demand for the dollar tend to reduce.