16 May | Dollar

US retail sales plunged in April following March surge ahead of tariffs

US retail sales plunged in April following March surge ahead of tariffs

US retail sales slowed in April as President Donald Trump’s tariffs weighed on American consumers, who pulled forward some of their spending into March ahead of the duties, Yahoo Finance reports.

According to Census Bureau data, headline retail sales rose 0.1% last month, beating economists' expectations of flat growth. The modest gain followed a much stronger 1.7% increase in March.

Sales, excluding volatile categories, fell 0.2% after a 0.5% gain in March, missing economists' projections of a 0.3% increase, according to the government report.

Retail sales, stripping out autos and gas, rose 0.2% in April, falling short of the 0.3% consensus forecast and lagging far behind a 1.1% surge in March.

Michael Pearce of Oxford Economics notes that the slowdown in US consumer spending is now becoming clearly visible. He expects retail sales to keep declining in the coming months, first due to front-loading, and then from tariff-driven price increases.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese
Period: 18.09.2025 Expectation: 160 pips
Buying gas with $3.150 target amid completing correction
Yesterday at 11:58 AM 93
Period: 12.09.2025 Expectation: 720 pips
Buying EURUSD amid expectations of weaker US inflation report
Yesterday at 10:57 AM 59
Expectation: 1000 pips
146.8–148.5 flat floor continues to lure USDJPY
Yesterday at 10:32 AM 87
Period: 18.09.2025 Expectation: 39000 pips
Buying ETHUSD with $4,790 in sight amid weak US economic data
Yesterday at 08:51 AM 87
Period: 12.09.2025 Expectation: 250 pips
Selling SPX if US inflation exceeds forecasts
Yesterday at 08:40 AM 94
Period: 31.10.2025 Expectation: 950 pips
Buying AUDCAD from 0.9030 level
10 September 2025 77
Go to forecasts