17 April | Dollar

Concerns over import tariffs sparked surge in US retail sales in March

Concerns over import tariffs sparked surge in US retail sales in March

Economic data confirms that American consumers are rushing to make big purchases ahead of upcoming import tariff hikes. In March, US retail sales jumped by 1.4%, marking the sharpest increase in two years, according to Bloomberg.

The auto sector saw particularly strong demand, with sales surging 5.3%. Purchases also climbed for building materials, sporting goods, and electronics, many of which are often imported from China. This spending spree comes as American consumer sentiment hovers near its lowest level since the 1950s, the agency notes.

Households are rushing major purchases ahead of expected price increases, Bloomberg explains. However, the March figures don't yet capture the potential impact of new US tariff measures, which were announced after the reporting period closed.

Yet, this frenzy may be short-lived. Once the tariffs take effect, the US economy could cool sharply, and consumers are likely to become more cautious with their spending, according to Lydia Boussour of EY.

Period: 18.09.2025 Expectation: 160 pips
Buying gas with $3.150 target amid completing correction
Yesterday at 11:58 AM 105
Period: 12.09.2025 Expectation: 720 pips
Buying EURUSD amid expectations of weaker US inflation report
Yesterday at 10:57 AM 67
Expectation: 1000 pips
146.8–148.5 flat floor continues to lure USDJPY
Yesterday at 10:32 AM 98
Period: 18.09.2025 Expectation: 39000 pips
Buying ETHUSD with $4,790 in sight amid weak US economic data
Yesterday at 08:51 AM 97
Period: 12.09.2025 Expectation: 250 pips
Selling SPX if US inflation exceeds forecasts
Yesterday at 08:40 AM 103
Period: 31.10.2025 Expectation: 950 pips
Buying AUDCAD from 0.9030 level
10 September 2025 79
Go to forecasts