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An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of USD.

2 February
United States. PPI (MoM). The value of the indicator has decreased from 0% to -0.5%

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of USD.

15 May 2025
US tax cuts extension could significantly increase national debt — Bloomberg

According to one official estimate, the massive tax cuts in the United States planned by the Republicans will cost the country $3.8 trillion over the next ten years. However, the calculations of independent agencies suggest larger sums, Bloomberg reports.

15 May 2025
US tax cuts extension could significantly increase national debt — Bloomberg
Dollar weakness triggered an unusual spike in volatility of other currencies

A weakening dollar raises the cost of hedging trades in other currencies worldwide, disproving the theory that costs should fall when the US currency weakens.

15 May 2025
Dollar weakness triggered an unusual spike in volatility of other currencies
JPMorgan expert believes US is able to avoid recession

Due to recent clarifications in the global trade landscape, the United States is poised to avoid a recession in the coming months. Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, head of global markets strategy at JPMorgan Chase & Co., shared this perspective during an interview with Bloomberg Television.

15 May 2025
JPMorgan expert believes US is able to avoid recession
Founder of Point72 Asset Management sees 45% chance of US recession

Speaking at the Sohn conference in New York, the founder of hedge fund Point72 Asset Management Steve Cohen shared his outlook on the American economy. He expects a sharp slowdown in the country's GDP growth in the coming years. The risk of a recession he estimates at about 45%.

15 May 2025
Founder of Point72 Asset Management sees 45% chance of US recession
Fed Vice Chair expects US economy to slow and inflation to rise

US Federal Reserve (Fed) Vice Chair Philip Jefferson expects import tariffs and associated uncertainty to slow economic growth and boost inflation in the country this year. However, monetary policy is currently well positioned to respond.

15 May 2025
Fed Vice Chair expects US economy to slow and inflation to rise
US consumers curb spending amid tariff policies and economic uncertainty

US consumers are adapting their spending habits amid economic uncertainty and the Trump administration's trade policies, according to a KPMG study cited by CNBC. Americans are being forced to revise their financial plans, delaying major purchases and worrying about increased debt burden.

15 May 2025
US consumers curb spending amid tariff policies and economic uncertainty
San Francisco Fed President emphasizes US economic resilience amid policy shifts

President of the Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) of San Francisco Mary Daly asserts that the US economy's resilience is prompting officials to exercise caution as they await new data. These reports are about to reveal the effects of Donald Trump's policies on businesses and households.

15 May 2025
San Francisco Fed President emphasizes US economic resilience amid policy shifts
Analysts do not expect Fed to cut rates soon — Yahoo Finance

The US-China tariff pause made analysts doubt that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut rates soon amid easing concerns of the US economy sliding into a recession. Before the deal, the central bank was expected to ease monetary policy in summer.

15 May 2025
Analysts do not expect Fed to cut rates soon — Yahoo Finance
Investors reduce dollar holdings and go back to neutral stance on US — Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs President John Waldron said that the recent decline in investor interest in dollar assets should be interpreted as investors returning to a more neutral stance on the currency, rather than a mass flight from these assets.

14 May 2025
Investors reduce dollar holdings and go back to neutral stance on US — Goldman Sachs

The dollar is the monetary unit of the United States (US). It is also used as the official currency by some other countries (Ecuador, Zimbabwe, El Salvador). The dollar holds a leading position in the world economy.

At the moment, the dollar dominates the system of international settlements with almost 50% share (the euro ranks second with less than 25%). Meanwhile, the dollar's dominance is even more pronounced in the financial sector, on the foreign exchange market, and in the government reserves.

The US currency (USD) quotes, as well as those of its foreign counterparts, depend primarily on the economic and political situation in the issuing country. The US authorities, such as the Federal Reserve System (the Fed) and the Department of the Treasury, influence the dollar exchange rate by changing their monetary, fiscal, budget, and tax policies. 

Moreover, the value of the dollar may be significantly affected by the latest news and the international situation. Global economic problems and rising geopolitical tensions have historically been favorable for the US currency, as investors consider it one of the major safe-haven assets, along with gold. In contrast, during periods of strong economic growth and a relatively calm global environment, the demand for the dollar tend to reduce.