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A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of USD.

7 July
United States. Manufacturing PMI. The value of the indicator has increased from 50.2 to 52.3

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of USD.

22 May 2025
S&P 500 stabilizes after falling on concerns over rising US debt

The US stock index stabilized on Thursday, May 22nd, after falling during the previous trading session, when Treasury bond yields surged. At that moment, investors' fears that President Donald Trump's tax and spending bill would boost the national debt rose sharply.

22 May 2025
S&P 500 stabilizes after falling on concerns over rising US debt
Republicans race to pass Trump's major bill in marathon session

According to The Washington Post, House Republicans worked late into the night to advance President Donald Trump’s sweeping tax and immigration bill. Mike Johnson struck a last-minute deal with diverse factions of the US Republican Party, securing enough votes to overcome a procedural hurdle.

22 May 2025
Republicans race to pass Trump's major bill in marathon session
Trump's tax-cut bill fuels investor anxiety — Bloomberg

Bloomberg reports that investors are worried about President Donald Trump's tax-cut plan. On Wednesday, the yield on 30-year Treasury bonds rose to 5.1%. This, in turn, led to a decline in US stocks and the dollar.

22 May 2025
Trump's tax-cut bill fuels investor anxiety — Bloomberg
Morgan Stanley expects US Fed to maintain rates at current levels through 2025

According to Morgan Stanley analysts, the US Fed will keep interest rates in the 4.25–4.50% range for the rest of this year as inflation remains the regulator's key concern. Fed officials left borrowing costs unchanged at the May meeting.

22 May 2025
Morgan Stanley expects US Fed to maintain rates at current levels through 2025
JPMorgan Chase CEO warns of US stagflation risks

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon warned of serious risks to the US economy during his speech at the Global Summit in Shanghai. He highlighted that a combination of high budget deficits, inflationary pressures, and geopolitical instability could push the country toward stagflation.

22 May 2025
JPMorgan Chase CEO warns of US stagflation risks
US economic outlook remains weak despite trade truce with China — Reuters

According to a recent Reuters poll of economists, the outlook for the US economy remains bleak despite a cooling of trade tensions with China. The situation has been further clouded by discussions surrounding President Donald Trump’s tax-cut bill.

22 May 2025
US economic outlook remains weak despite trade truce with China — Reuters
Morgan Stanley upgrades US stocks rating and expects S&P 500 to rise by Q2 of 2026

Morgan Stanley upgraded its rating on US stocks to “overweight”, citing a combination of solid earnings with supportive monetary policy and a weakening dollar.

21 May 2025
Morgan Stanley upgrades US stocks rating and expects S&P 500 to rise by Q2 of 2026
Dollar weakens amid Trump's tax bill setbacks and G7 talks

On Wednesday, May 21, the US dollar fell against major currencies as President Donald Trump failed to convince Republicans to support his tax bill.

21 May 2025
Dollar weakens amid Trump's tax bill setbacks and G7 talks
Global trade uncertainty continues to weigh on dollar — Reuters

According to Reuters, May 21 saw another day of dollar sell-offs, though not particularly intense. US Treasury bond yields remain elevated, causing concern among investors. Markets are watching for changes in US trade deals and assessing the country's economic health.

21 May 2025
Global trade uncertainty continues to weigh on dollar — Reuters

The dollar is the monetary unit of the United States (US). It is also used as the official currency by some other countries (Ecuador, Zimbabwe, El Salvador). The dollar holds a leading position in the world economy.

At the moment, the dollar dominates the system of international settlements with almost 50% share (the euro ranks second with less than 25%). Meanwhile, the dollar's dominance is even more pronounced in the financial sector, on the foreign exchange market, and in the government reserves.

The US currency (USD) quotes, as well as those of its foreign counterparts, depend primarily on the economic and political situation in the issuing country. The US authorities, such as the Federal Reserve System (the Fed) and the Department of the Treasury, influence the dollar exchange rate by changing their monetary, fiscal, budget, and tax policies. 

Moreover, the value of the dollar may be significantly affected by the latest news and the international situation. Global economic problems and rising geopolitical tensions have historically been favorable for the US currency, as investors consider it one of the major safe-haven assets, along with gold. In contrast, during periods of strong economic growth and a relatively calm global environment, the demand for the dollar tend to reduce.