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ECB officials worry euro’s strength risks fueling disinflation — Bloomberg

European Central Bank (ECB) officials are worried that the euro's rapid rise could derail the regulator's efforts to keep inflation at 2%. The currency has already gained 14% against the dollar this year, according to Bloomberg.

2 July
ECB officials worry euro’s strength risks fueling disinflation — Bloomberg
S&P 500 closes lower under pressure from tech selloff

Reuters reports that the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq closed lower on Tuesday, while the Dow Jones ended the trading session higher. The S&P 500 fell 6.94 points, or 0.11%, to 6,198.01.

2 July
S&P 500 closes lower under pressure from tech selloff
World Bank expects gold prices to rise 35% in 2025

Analysts at the World Bank project gold prices to pick up over the next 18 months, while silver is also expected to rise further in 2025 and 2026.

2 July
World Bank expects gold prices to rise 35% in 2025
United States. ISM Manufacturing PMI. The value of the indicator has increased from 48.5 to 49

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of USD.

1 July
Euro's rise above $1.2 may trigger another key rate cut — ECB officials

In today's interview with Bloomberg, European Central Bank (ECB) Vice President Luis de Guindos raised the issue of the euro's appreciation. He said that the EU currency's growth above the level of $1.2 is undesirable and could trigger further rate cuts.

1 July
Euro's rise above $1.2 may trigger another key rate cut — ECB officials
Donald Trump advocates for sharp rate cut in US to 1%

Despite inflation risks, US President Donald Trump is urging the Federal Reserve to ease monetary policy by cutting the interest rate to 1%, down from the current range of 4.25%–4.50%. This comes as consumer prices are rising due to new import tariffs enacted on key trading partners.

1 July
Donald Trump advocates for sharp rate cut in US to 1%
Natixis expert maintains bullish outlook for silver despite price correction

Silver struggles to hold critical support at $36 an ounce as gold consolidates near $3,300 per ounce. However, Bernard Dahdah, analyst at Natixis, notes that silver may continue rising as it breaks away to forge its own path.

1 July
Natixis expert maintains bullish outlook for silver despite price correction
Geopolitical tension increases oil price forecasts — Reuters poll

According to yesterday's Reuters report, analysts have slightly raised their oil price forecasts following the escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. However, growing energy supply from OPEC+ and moderate resource demand continue to put pressure on barrel prices.

1 July
Geopolitical tension increases oil price forecasts — Reuters poll
Morgan Stanley predicts S&P 500’s surge to 6,500 by year-end due to rising earnings per share estimates

In April, analysts were slashing S&P 500 earnings-per-share forecasts at a record pace, with earnings revision breadth hitting -25%. But the figure is now at just -5%. According to Morgan Stanley experts, further improvement in this metric will lead to the index closing the year at 6,500.

1 July
Morgan Stanley predicts S&P 500’s surge to 6,500 by year-end due to rising earnings per share estimates
Europe's LNG imports surge as Asian demand declines

According to Reuters, higher demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) in Europe has contributed to a shift in global cargo flows away from Asia. Overall LNG supplies increased in the first half of this year.

1 July
Europe's LNG imports surge as Asian demand declines

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The world of business and finance is constantly changing. What trends and directions are relevant today? The answer to this question is key to successfully navigating in a trading and investment environment and better assessing the risks involved.

Global events and economic policies

The global economy can be greatly impacted by major events, causing stock markets and exchange rates to plummet. The repercussions of one nation's crisis may extend to other countries, creating a butterfly effect with far-reaching consequences. While these events may be frightening for some, traders and investors use them as a chance to generate profits amidst a crisis.

Financial institutions and their role

Financial institutions act as intermediaries between borrowers and lenders. This group typically includes banks, as well as non-bank organizations such as pension funds, insurance companies, credit unions, and pawnshops. By supporting global trade, business growth, and job opportunities, these institutions play a crucial role in maintaining a stable and thriving economy.

Government and Economy

All governments serve as regulators for businesses, both domestically and internationally. The economic policies implemented by separate states have a significant impact on their currency exchange rates and living expenses.

Investment and Risks

Market players are always looking for tools and opportunities to make a profitable investment, which is accompanied by some risks. This is where capital management comes into play, with the goal of minimizing losses and maximizing profits

By closely monitoring worldwide events and economic strategies of the top nations, traders and investors can make well-informed decisions in the financial world