No change of the indicator value may reduce the volatility of the related markets.
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A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of EUR.
25 July
According to Reuters, France and Germany are weighing possible countermeasures against the US if talks with the Trump administration fail to produce an agreement.
23 July
Analysts at ING believe the euro lacks bullish momentum. The single currency is unlikely to reach the highs seen in early July anytime soon. Meanwhile, market participants are slowly giving up on the US-EU trade agreement.
23 July
One in four German startups may exit domestic market due to lack of investment — Bitkom survey
According to a study by the digital association Bitkom, one in four tech startups in Germany is considering leaving the domestic market. Founders worry that the country’s economic downturn could weigh on prospects for securing venture capital and slow down company growth.
23 July
Bank of America confirms its forecast for the euro to strengthen against the US dollar. The bank expects the currency pair to reach 1.17 by the end of 2025. The current euro exchange rate appears stronger against the greenback.
22 July
More than 60 of Germany's major companies have announced the launch of an investment campaign with projects worth about 100 billion euros ($116 billion).
22 July
Confindustria warns that US tariffs could cost Italy up to 0.8% of GDP
The US president's decision to impose 30% tariffs on goods from the European Union could shrink Italy's GDP by 0.8% by 2027, according to a report by Confindustria's research unit.
22 July
Eurozone businesses stay upbeat despite profit squeeze — ECB survey
According to the latest European Central Bank (ECB) survey, European companies remain confident about future growth prospects, even as trade tensions weigh on profitability. Although corporate earnings have declined, businesses continue to maintain robust hiring levels.
21 July
Bloomberg reports growing investor interest in euro bonds amid dollar decline
The dollar continues to cause turmoil in the markets, increasing the attractiveness of euro bonds. Since the beginning of the year, the dollar index has lost about 8%. Donald Trump's import tariffs and his jabs at the Federal Reserve are undermining trader confidence in the US currency.
21 July
The UK may regain some of its former prominence as a European manufacturing hub if Donald Trump implements proposed 30% tariffs. Alex Altmann of Lubbock Fine suggests the UK's available production capacity could attract EU-based companies looking to avoid steep US tariffs.
21 July
The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.
Key drivers of the euro are the following:
- Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
- Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.
Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:
- large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
- change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.
Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.
Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.
Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.
