More than a third of German companies plan to slash jobs in 2025, according to Reuters experts who reviewed a study by the German Economic Institute (IW).
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No change of the indicator value may reduce the volatility of the related markets.
11 April
Research institutes in Germany have presented a grim outlook for the national economy after analyzing the current conditions. Their estimates indicate that the country's GDP is expected to grow by a mere 0.1% this year, following two years of decline.
10 April
Italy's finance minister projects 2026 budget deficit at 2.8% of GDP
The Italian government has announced its plan to reduce the budget deficit below the European Union's limit of 3% of GDP by next year. Finance Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti indicated that the deficit will be 3.3% this year before falling to 2.8% in 2026.
10 April
France lowers economic growth forecasts on trade tensions
French Finance Minister Eric Lombard lowered the country’s economic growth forecast for 2025 amid escalating global trade tensions. France’s GDP is now expected to grow 0.7% instead of previously forecast 0.9%.
10 April
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Olli Rehn has called for additional rate cuts in April, citing declining inflation and a slowing eurozone economy, according to Econostream Media.
10 April
Analysts at JPMorgan Chase have concluded that a quadruple cut in interest rates by the European Central Bank (ECB) is just a matter of course due to the negative impact of US trade policy on the EU economy.
9 April
ECB's Simkus calls for rate cuts amid US tariff policy
Gediminas Simkus, a member of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB), expressed his support for an interest rate cut in April, citing the need to counter the negative effects of US President Donald Trump's trade policies.
9 April
France's economy grew before US imposed tariffs
The Bank of France has slightly raised its estimate of the country's economic growth for the first quarter. The central bank's monthly survey of 8,500 French companies, as well as other indicators point to a 0.2% increase in GDP in the period from January to March.
9 April
Likely higher inflation and global trade tensions following the introduction of tariffs by US President Donald Trump could delay the normalization of monetary policy in the euro zone, says Yannis Stournaras, European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker.
9 April
European watchdogs increase monitoring of banks as global stocks tumble
Central banks and their supervisors across the eurozone, the UK, and Switzerland have heightened scrutiny of financial institutions and markets following a global stock sell-off triggered by aggressive US trade policies, Reuters reports.
9 April
The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.
Key drivers of the euro are the following:
- Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
- Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.
Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:
- large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
- change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.
Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.
Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.
Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.
