4 July 2025 | Euro

ECB officials say euro's appreciation may hurt exports

ECB officials say euro's appreciation may hurt exports

At its June meeting, the European Central Bank (ECB) decided to cut interest rates again. According to the meeting minutes, policymakers warned that a stronger euro could pose risks for exporters.

As the ECB notes, trade uncertainty is already clouding the economic outlook for the 20-nation eurozone, with particularly negative effects on investment.

The single currency’s nearly 14% rise this year has helped curb inflation in the region. However, further euro appreciation could push consumer prices below the ECB’s 2% target and hurt the competitiveness of export-oriented companies.

According to the latest forecasts from the European regulator, inflation will slow to 1.6% in 2026 before returning to the 2% mark in 2027. Meanwhile, the bloc’s economy is expected to grow due to increased government spending in Germany.

Gold sell
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 3000 pips
Gold sell-off targets $4,000
Today at 08:04 AM 9
Period: 30.11.2026 Expectation: 5700 pips
Selling USDJPY down to 150.00
Today at 08:04 AM 9
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 1500 pips
Invest in GBPUSD up to 1.36270
Yesterday at 04:04 AM 21
Period: 15.10.2026 Expectation: 1000 pips
Selling SPX down to $7,490
16 September 2026 26
Brent sell
Period: 15.10.2026 Expectation: 800 pips
Brent crude sell-off targets $95.80
16 September 2026 26
Gold sell
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 18000 pips
Go short on gold upon breaking $4,300
15 September 2026 48
Go to forecasts