4 July 2025 | Euro

ECB officials say euro's appreciation may hurt exports

ECB officials say euro's appreciation may hurt exports

At its June meeting, the European Central Bank (ECB) decided to cut interest rates again. According to the meeting minutes, policymakers warned that a stronger euro could pose risks for exporters.

As the ECB notes, trade uncertainty is already clouding the economic outlook for the 20-nation eurozone, with particularly negative effects on investment.

The single currency’s nearly 14% rise this year has helped curb inflation in the region. However, further euro appreciation could push consumer prices below the ECB’s 2% target and hurt the competitiveness of export-oriented companies.

According to the latest forecasts from the European regulator, inflation will slow to 1.6% in 2026 before returning to the 2% mark in 2027. Meanwhile, the bloc’s economy is expected to grow due to increased government spending in Germany.

Period: 14.11.2026 Expectation: 3500 pips
Sell Bitcoin with $75,000 in view
30 October 2026 81
Period: 14.11.2026 Expectation: 150 pips
Go short on SPX down to $7,500
30 October 2026 102
Brent sell
Period: 29.11.2026 Expectation: 450 pips
Brent crude sell-off targets $105
29 October 2026 81
Period: 12.11.2026 Expectation: 28000 pips
Go long on NVIDIA stock up to $243
29 October 2026 85
Period: 28.11.2026 Expectation: 130 pips
Invest in SPX with 7,850 in view
28 October 2026 113
Period: 28.11.2026 Expectation: 4200 pips
Selling EURUSD down to 1.07000
28 October 2026 129
Go to forecasts