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An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of EUR.

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Rising trade tensions and political instability in France slow its GDP growth

Global trade tensions and political uncertainty in France keep putting the European country's economy under pressure. Insee expects French GDP to expand by about 0.1% in the first three months of 2025.

19 March 2025
Rising trade tensions and political instability in France slow its GDP growth
ECB calls for change in banks' approach to liquidity

The ECB is calling on banks to prepare for reduced liquidity, recommending to develop IT infrastructure and train staff to work with new sources of funding, even though operational framework reforms are scheduled for 2026.

18 March 2025
ECB calls for change in banks' approach to liquidity
ECB: rapid housing market recovery in euro zone raises concerns around affordability

According to the European Central Bank (ECB), the housing market in the region has recovered from the recent downturn, and the prices are likely to continue rising. Such dynamics may negatively affect housing affordability, despite the softer monetary policy.

18 March 2025
ECB: rapid housing market recovery in euro zone raises concerns around affordability
European Union. Trade Balance. The value of the indicator has decreased from 15.4B to 1B

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of EUR.

18 March 2025
Ifo Institute cuts 2025 German economic growth forecast to 0.2%

On Monday, Germany's Ifo Institute revised its economic growth forecast for Germany downward to 0.2%, citing a decline in consumer sentiment. Some improvement is anticipated in 2026, with Ifo representatives projecting growth of 0.8%.

18 March 2025
Ifo Institute cuts 2025 German economic growth forecast to 0.2%
Germany's party leaders are optimistic about spending deal being approved

According to Bloomberg, Germany's finance package intended to increase spending on defense and infrastructure by means of the national debt will be approved on Tuesday. Representatives of the Conservative and Social Democratic parties expressed their belief that the agreement will be adopted.

18 March 2025
Germany's party leaders are optimistic about spending deal being approved
De Guindos of the ECB: inflation in the euro area is gradually declining

During an interview with the radio station Onda Cero, Vice President of the European Central Bank (ECB) Luis de Guindos stated that inflation in the services sector is slowing down. This inflation indicator, which had remained around 4% for an extended period, decreased to 3.7% in February.

17 March 2025
De Guindos of the ECB: inflation in the euro area is gradually declining
Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect two more ECB rate cuts this year

According to analysts polled by Bloomberg, the European Central Bank (ECB) will reduce borrowing costs two more times this year, in April and June. Thus, the deposit rate will not fall below 2%, as previously assumed.

17 March 2025
Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect two more ECB rate cuts this year
ECB Vice President: eurozone stability is threatened by Trump's policies

Under the leadership of Donald Trump, the United States is witnessing policies that are causing considerable unease among investors. The growth trajectory of the global economy is still at the forefront of market discussions.

17 March 2025
ECB Vice President: eurozone stability is threatened by Trump's policies
German parliament's budget committee approves plan to increase government borrowing

On Sunday, the German parliament's budget committee approved the plan of a significant increase in government borrowing aimed at bolstering defense and boosting the country's GDP growth, Reuters reports.

17 March 2025
German parliament's budget committee approves plan to increase government borrowing

The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.

Key drivers of the euro are the following:

  • Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
  • Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.

Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:

  • large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
  • change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.

Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.

Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.

Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.