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Oil prices go down amid concerns over impact of trade frictions on fuel consumption

On Tuesday, oil prices are declining due to pressure from concerns over escalating trade tensions. Market participants are worried about the impact of increasing friction between the US and EU on economic activity and fuel demand.

22 July
Oil prices continue to decline as OPEC+ considers raising output

Oil prices fell further on Monday, extending their sharpest weekly decline in two years. The downward pressure was driven largely by aggressive bearish bets from hedge funds, reacting to expectations of increased production from OPEC+ nations, Bloomberg reports.

30 June
Oil prices continue to decline as OPEC+ considers raising output
United States. CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions. The value of the indicator has increased from 231K to 233K

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of WTI, Brent.

27 June
United States. U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count. The value of the indicator has decreased from 554 to 547

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of NG, WTI, Brent.

27 June
United States. U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count. The value of the indicator has decreased from 438 to 432

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of WTI, Brent.

27 June
Crude deliveries to US Strategic Petroleum Reserve will not be completed until year-end — Reuters

Scheduled deliveries of crude to the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve will not be completed until year-end as the site is now under maintenance, says the Department of Energy.

27 June
Crude deliveries to US Strategic Petroleum Reserve will not be completed until year-end — Reuters
Probability of Straight of Hormuz oil supply distruptions is low — Goldman Sachs report

According to yesterday's Goldman Sachs analysts' report, the probability of the Strait of Hormuz oil supply disruptions following the easing of the Middle East geopolitical tensions stands at 4%. Market participants' concerns intensified amid escalating tensions between Iran and Israel.

27 June
Probability of Straight of Hormuz oil supply distruptions is low — Goldman Sachs report
Rising oil prices may pressure Asian imports in July and August — Reuters

Oil imports in Asia increased in the first half of 2025, driven by a sharp rise in June shipments, despite a weak start to the year. The region's fuel imports averaged 27.36 million barrels per day in the first six months of the year, up 620,000 barrels per day year-over-year.

26 June
Rising oil prices may pressure Asian imports in July and August — Reuters
Trump administration announced auction for oil and gas drilling licenses in Gulf of Mexico

The Trump administration has announced plans to auction off oil and gas drilling licenses across more than 320,000 square kilometers in the Gulf of Mexico. Set for December 10, the sale will include both shallow-water and deepwater tracts.

26 June
Trump administration announced auction for oil and gas drilling licenses in Gulf of Mexico
Russia open to further oil output hikes as part of OPEC+ strategy — Bloomberg

According to Bloomberg, Russia is open to increasing oil production at the next OPEC+ meeting if the alliance deems it necessary, as reported by a source familiar with the country's position. The eight members of the organization may consider another production hike for August.

26 June
Russia open to further oil output hikes as part of OPEC+ strategy — Bloomberg
Oil holds steady amid falling US inventories and Trump's pressure on Iran

According to Bloomberg, oil prices held their earlier gains on Thursday. The news agency attributes this trend to US President Donald Trump's statement about continuing pressure on the Iran oil industry and a government report showing a significant decline in domestic crude inventories.

26 June
Oil holds steady amid falling US inventories and Trump's pressure on Iran

News on oil prices is not just information for specialists. This is an important signal for every experienced trader. This section of the website will help you understand when there’s a "Strong buy" signal for oil and when it is a "Strong sell" signal.

Oil price movements are more than just charts on a screen. It is one of the key drivers of the global economy. Understanding these dynamics helps in making rational decisions and adapting to changes.

What determines oil prices?

  • Global events. Political crises, conflicts, and agreements between producing countries have a huge impact on oil prices.
  • Supply and demand. When many consumers try to buy oil that is in deficit – the prices go up. Otherwise, when supply is greater than demand, the prices go down.
  • Russia and Saudi Arabia. These countries are among the leading oil producers. Their decisions on oil output have a direct impact on the global market.
  • OPEC. This is a group of oil-producing countries. Their agreements on production cuts are aided at stabilizing prices.
  • Alternative energy sources. The development of solar, wind, and other power stations can weaken the countries' dependence on oil and put pressure on its prices.
  • Electric cars. The increasing popularity of electric cars reduces the need for gasoline and, consequently, for crude oil.
  • Global tensions. Oil is a strategic resource. Geopolitical events can affect its production and prices.
  • Environmental constraints. Rising environmental awareness may reduce demand for oil, affecting its price.

Why follow the latest oil news?

  • To make informed investment decisions. Being aware of the oil industry news helps you make conscious choices.
  • To assess the impact on the economy. Oil prices can affect inflation, economic growth, and even our wages.