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Oil prices go down amid concerns over impact of trade frictions on fuel consumption

On Tuesday, oil prices are declining due to pressure from concerns over escalating trade tensions. Market participants are worried about the impact of increasing friction between the US and EU on economic activity and fuel demand.

22 July 2025
Oil prices decline amid potential fuel supply disruptions

After rising 4% during Tuesday's trading session, crude oil prices fell due to supply disruption risks stemming from the ongoing Middle East conflict. Fitch analysts warned that significant damage to Iran's production could exert further pressure on oil prices in the near term.

18 June 2025
Oil prices decline amid potential fuel supply disruptions
Trump administration plans to allow oil and gas operations in Alaska reserve

The Trump administration suggested making 82% of the 9.3-million-hectare National Petroleum Reserve in Alaska available for oil and gas extraction. This move challenges ex-President Joe Biden's initiatives to limit drilling in the region.

18 June 2025
Trump administration plans to allow oil and gas operations in Alaska reserve
United States. API Weekly Crude Oil Stock. The value of the indicator has decreased from -0.37M to -10.133M

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of WTI, Brent.

17 June 2025
China's oil demand will peak in 2027 — IEA

Today, the International Energy Agency (IEA) released a new oil market forecast through 2030. According to the organization’s analysts, oil demand in China will peak in just two years and then begin to decline.

17 June 2025
China's oil demand will peak in 2027 — IEA
Vitol CEO foresees modest contraction in US crude output amid market pressures

Russell Hardy, Chief Executive Officer of Vitol, projected a measured decline in US petroleum production for 2025 during his address at the Energy Asia conference. The industry leader attributed this anticipated reduction to the price sensitivity characteristic of US shale operators.

17 June 2025
Vitol CEO foresees modest contraction in US crude output amid market pressures
China builds up oil reserves amid escalating tensions in Middle East

According to Reuters, China is building up stocks of crude oil as the country's refineries are processing less than the combined volumes of imports and domestic production. This allows the world's largest fuel importer to reduce future purchases.

17 June 2025
China builds up oil reserves amid escalating tensions in Middle East
OPEC+ fell short of its planned oil production increase in May

According to the OPEC+ monthly report, eight member states involved in the current agreement increased oil production by just 154,000 barrels per day (bpd) last month, which is below the planned 411,000 bpd target.

17 June 2025
OPEC+ fell short of its planned oil production increase in May
Saskatchewan’s Premier ready to increase oil production to 1 million barrels per day — Bloomberg

According to Scott Moe, the Premier of the Canadian province of Saskatchewan, the region could increase oil production to 1 million barrels per day if regulatory requirements are eased. This would only be possible after building pipelines and lifting emissions restrictions in the oil and gas sector.

17 June 2025
Saskatchewan’s Premier ready to increase oil production to 1 million barrels per day — Bloomberg
Geopolitical tensions spur demand for oil options — Bloomberg

The oil options market has seen a surge in activity amid rising tensions in the Middle East, as reported by Bloomberg. Fearing possible disruptions in energy supplies, market participants are actively purchasing call options, which give them the right to buy oil at a fixed price in the future.

16 June 2025
Geopolitical tensions spur demand for oil options — Bloomberg
China's May oil refining volume hit its lowest since August last year

In May, oil refining in China decreased by 1.8% year-over-year, reaching its lowest level since last August. This decline was due to maintenance work at state-owned and private oil refineries.

16 June 2025
China's May oil refining volume hit its lowest since August last year

News on oil prices is not just information for specialists. This is an important signal for every experienced trader. This section of the website will help you understand when there’s a "Strong buy" signal for oil and when it is a "Strong sell" signal.

Oil price movements are more than just charts on a screen. It is one of the key drivers of the global economy. Understanding these dynamics helps in making rational decisions and adapting to changes.

What determines oil prices?

  • Global events. Political crises, conflicts, and agreements between producing countries have a huge impact on oil prices.
  • Supply and demand. When many consumers try to buy oil that is in deficit – the prices go up. Otherwise, when supply is greater than demand, the prices go down.
  • Russia and Saudi Arabia. These countries are among the leading oil producers. Their decisions on oil output have a direct impact on the global market.
  • OPEC. This is a group of oil-producing countries. Their agreements on production cuts are aided at stabilizing prices.
  • Alternative energy sources. The development of solar, wind, and other power stations can weaken the countries' dependence on oil and put pressure on its prices.
  • Electric cars. The increasing popularity of electric cars reduces the need for gasoline and, consequently, for crude oil.
  • Global tensions. Oil is a strategic resource. Geopolitical events can affect its production and prices.
  • Environmental constraints. Rising environmental awareness may reduce demand for oil, affecting its price.

Why follow the latest oil news?

  • To make informed investment decisions. Being aware of the oil industry news helps you make conscious choices.
  • To assess the impact on the economy. Oil prices can affect inflation, economic growth, and even our wages.