17 March 2025 | Other

UK budget deficit may exceed 5 billion dollars: Resolution Foundation

UK budget deficit may exceed 5 billion dollars: Resolution Foundation

According to experts of the Resolution Foundation think tank, UK Finance Minister Rachel Reeves may fail to meet the budget adopted for the current year. The expected deficit could amount to 4.4 billion pounds ($5.7 billion).

Analysts at the organization have called on Reeves to handle any cuts to social security spending with caution. The cuts are expected to be the subject of her budget update speech on March 26. Instead of reducing spending, the organization's analysts believe tax increases would be more appropriate.

According to James Smith, director of research at the Resolution Foundation, the UK's economic outlook has deteriorated significantly since the budget was passed last fall. In his opinion, weakening GDP growth and rising interest rates will lead to a shift in the budget balance from the current surplus to a deficit of about 5 billion pounds.

Reuters reports that Britain's Office for Budget Responsibility is planning to drastically cut its forecast for the country's economic growth for 2025, now estimated at 2.0%. Last month, the Bank of England lowered its forecast to 0.75%. The Resolution Foundation is forecasting a similar figure.

Elena Dorokhina MarketCheese
Period: 30.01.2026 Expectation: 600 pips
AUDCAD trend holds firm on upbeat Australian reports
23 January 2026 55
Lyra_Moonwell1
Lyra_Moonwell1

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
Brent sell
Period: 30.01.2026 Expectation: 100 pips
Brent's rally stalls as upside is limited by $65–$66 resistance
23 January 2026 63
Period: 28.02.2026 Expectation: 3000 pips
Buying EURUSD on weak US GDP print
23 January 2026 43
Period: 30.01.2026 Expectation: 1110 pips
GBPUSD’s rally is capped despite eased geopolitical stress
23 January 2026 26
Period: 29.01.2026 Expectation: 690 pips
NG selloff targets $4.400 ahead of reaching local high
22 January 2026 63
Lyra_Moonwell1
Lyra_Moonwell1

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
Period: 29.01.2026 Expectation: 15200 pips
Investing in ETHUSD up to $3,170 on US-EU trade relief
22 January 2026 80
Go to forecasts