27 March 2025 | Dollar

US could default on its national debt as early as August — Congressional Budget Office

US could default on its national debt as early as August — Congressional Budget Office

The US risks defaulting on its debt in August or even earlier — by the end of May. This will happen if US lawmakers do not adopt measures to raise the nation's debt ceiling, according to the Congressional Budget Office.

The federal agency's forecast followed an estimate by the Bipartisan Policy Center. According to it, the US could run short of cash to pay its bills sometime between mid-July and early October. However, it is rather difficult to predict the exact date of default on the US national debt due to the erratic nature of revenue collections and outlays, the Congressional Budget Office notes.

Republicans, controlling the US House of Representatives and Senate, have not yet announced plans to raise the borrowing limit. Previous delays in negotiations on this issue have already rattled financial markets, Reuters reports.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese
Period: 07.10.2026 Expectation: 900 pips
Buy NVIDIA up to $236
Today at 11:07 AM 15
Period: 01.11.2026 Expectation: 3500 pips
Invest in USDCAD with 1.45500 in sight
Today at 09:54 AM 14
Period: 29.10.2026 Expectation: 3100 pips
BTCUSD sell-off targets $80,000
Yesterday at 10:12 AM 24
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 600 pips
Selling EURUSD on Fed’s harsh rhetoric
Yesterday at 09:58 AM 18
Period: 31.12.2026 Expectation: 10000 pips
Buy silver from support levels
Yesterday at 09:58 AM 18
Period: 29.10.2026 Expectation: 1500 pips
Go short on AUDUSD ahead of RBA meeting
Yesterday at 08:17 AM 23
Go to forecasts