21 March 2025 | Other

UK short-term inflation expectations hit 14-month high — Citi/YouGov survey

UK short-term inflation expectations hit 14-month high — Citi/YouGov survey

According to a Citi/YouGov survey, UK households' short-term inflation expectations surged to their highest level in more than a year in February, indicating the challenges facing the Bank of England (BoE).

The British public's year-ahead inflation expectations rose from 3.5% in January to 3.9% in February. Meanwhile, long-term expectations climbed from 3.7% to 3.9%. The BoE's Monetary Policy Committee attributes such increases to the households responding to the current rise in consumer prices, in particular for food and energy.

In addition, according to the BoE/Ipsos survey, households' inflation expectations for the coming 12 months edged up to 3.4% in February, the highest level since August 2023.

The British regulator said Thursday that its survey among businesses showed a moderate increase in inflation expectations at the start of the year.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Period: 20.02.2026 Expectation: 1050 pips
AUDCAD correction may relieve technical tension before next leg up
Yesterday at 10:16 AM 27
Lyra_Moonwell1
Lyra_Moonwell1

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
Period: 20.02.2026 Expectation: 1130 pips
GBPUSD loses ground on lower expectations of Fed rate cuts
Yesterday at 08:07 AM 18
Gold buy
Period: 28.02.2026 Expectation: 12000 pips
Buying gold up to $5,100
Yesterday at 07:11 AM 37
Period: 19.02.2026 Expectation: 500 pips
Selling natural gas amid milder weather and higher production
12 February 2026 71
Lyra_Moonwell1
Lyra_Moonwell1

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
Period: 19.02.2026 Expectation: 18000 pips
Investing in ETHUSD on current slump before momentum picks up after selloff ends
12 February 2026 48
Period: 31.05.2026 Expectation: 2000 pips
Keep buying SPX
12 February 2026 40
Go to forecasts