21 March 2025 | Other

UK short-term inflation expectations hit 14-month high — Citi/YouGov survey

UK short-term inflation expectations hit 14-month high — Citi/YouGov survey

According to a Citi/YouGov survey, UK households' short-term inflation expectations surged to their highest level in more than a year in February, indicating the challenges facing the Bank of England (BoE).

The British public's year-ahead inflation expectations rose from 3.5% in January to 3.9% in February. Meanwhile, long-term expectations climbed from 3.7% to 3.9%. The BoE's Monetary Policy Committee attributes such increases to the households responding to the current rise in consumer prices, in particular for food and energy.

In addition, according to the BoE/Ipsos survey, households' inflation expectations for the coming 12 months edged up to 3.4% in February, the highest level since August 2023.

The British regulator said Thursday that its survey among businesses showed a moderate increase in inflation expectations at the start of the year.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Period: 27.09.2026 Expectation: 4650 pips
Invest in USDJPY up to its all-time high of 164.00
Today at 10:28 AM 8
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 500 pips
Sell ​​GBPUSD down to 1.3540
Today at 09:22 AM 6
Gold buy
Period: 10.09.2026 Expectation: 300 pips
Buy gold with $4,900 in sight
Today at 06:54 AM 13
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 250 pips
Buying EURUSD from 1.1650
Yesterday at 10:15 AM 23
Gold buy
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 2500 pips
Invest in gold from $4,550
Yesterday at 10:15 AM 24
Brent sell
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 250 pips
Brent crude sell-off targets $88.50
24 August 2026 44
Go to forecasts