8 April | Oil

Bloomberg: oil traders hedge against recession with record options bets

Bloomberg: oil traders hedge against recession with record options bets

The oil options markets broke out of a months-long stupor last week after OPEC+ increased production amid a global economic downturn. As a result, oil prices plummeted to a four-year low, Bloomberg reports.

According to experts interviewed by the agency, this development ended the period of weak price fluctuations. Market participants are now rushing to take profits from existing bearish positions and hedge against economic instability.

On Friday, over 450,000 bearish Brent oil options changed hands, more than double the previous record. Among these were contracts that would profit if the price of this global benchmark falls to $50 per barrel.

The scale of the moves also impacted options pricing. Bearish Brent contracts traded at their largest premium to bullish ones since November 2023, and implied volatility reached its highest level in recent months.

These surges occurred as oil prices fell below $65. According to Bloomberg, the number of put positions for next year represents approximately 118 million barrels.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Period: 07.07.2025 Expectation: 1900 pips
SPX may retreat to 5,980 following all-time high
Today at 10:08 AM 19
Gold sell
Period: 04.07.2025 Expectation: 5000 pips
Gold's six-month uptrend is under threat as prices test 3250 level
Today at 09:30 AM 54
Period: 04.07.2025 Expectation: 750 pips
AUDCAD rises amid easing geopolitical tensions
27 June 2025 79
Period: 03.07.2025 Expectation: 800 pips
Weak dollar pushes GBPUSD to new highs
27 June 2025 61
Period: 04.07.2025 Expectation: 500 pips
Selling EURUSD down to 1.1640
27 June 2025 49
Period: 04.07.2025 Expectation: 224 pips
Selling natural gas with target of 3.335 amid colder weather and oversupply
26 June 2025 72
Go to forecasts