8 April 2025 | Dollar

Fed's Kugler: US inflation more affected by tariffs than economic growth

Fed's Kugler: US inflation more affected by tariffs than economic growth

Adriana Kugler, a member of the Federal Reserve's Board of Governors, stated that President Trump's tariffs currently pose a greater risk to US inflation than to economic growth.

A rush by US consumers to purchase goods before tariffs take effect could temporarily boost economic activity in early 2025. However, such a short-term surge might be followed by serious inflationary consequences, Bloomberg reported.

Kugler stated that the Fed’s future actions will focus on supporting the nation’s economic growth while controlling inflation. Despite a rise in short-term inflation expectations, she noted that long-term forecasts remain stable. She supports keeping the central bank’s benchmark interest rate unchanged amid uncertainty surrounding Trump’s trade policies.

Fed officials are opting to remain patient with monetary policy adjustments, as the US labor market continues to show resilience, Bloomberg added. The June employment report underscored this strength, revealing robust hiring and a slight uptick in the unemployment rate to 4.2%.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese
Period: 01.03.2026 Expectation: 7500 pips
Investing in silver with $86 in sight
20 February 2026 33
Brent sell
Period: 28.02.2026 Expectation: 90 pips
Brent crude selloff with $71.30 target
20 February 2026 36
Brent sell
Period: 28.02.2026 Expectation: 550 pips
Brent crude is vulnerable to steep pullback on geopolitical de-escalation
20 February 2026 29
Lyra_Moonwell1
Lyra_Moonwell1

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
Period: 28.02.2026 Expectation: 1120 pips
Temporary surge in oil prices won’t stop AUDCAD’s long-term ascent
20 February 2026 20
Period: 31.03.2026 Expectation: 900 pips
Investing in USDCAD when American GDP beats forecasts
20 February 2026 16
Brent sell
Period: 30.04.2026 Expectation: 200 pips
Selling Brent crude as it climbs to $73.0
20 February 2026 20
Go to forecasts