12 May | Oil

Bank of America warns OPEC+ output hikes will weigh on oil market long-term

Bank of America warns OPEC+ output hikes will weigh on oil market long-term

The oil market could soon face long-term pressure due to oversupply, according to the Bank of America analysts. They point to OPEC+’s planned production hikes, which threaten to exacerbate an already glutted market.

Alliance members agreed to boost daily crude output by 411,000 barrels in June. However, bank analysts project the actual supply increase will reach just 170,000 barrels due to overproduction by some OPEC+ members and constraints on others.

Nevertheless, the market will remain oversupplied. Bank of America projects Brent will average $62 per barrel this year, down from $80 in the previous year. Analysts caution that prices could temporarily plunge to $50 if trade tensions escalate.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese
Brent sell
Period: 19.12.2025 Expectation: 200 pips
Brent crude to remain within $62.5–$65 range
05 December 2025 42
Period: 12.12.2025 Expectation: 1625 pips
GBPUSD correction looms as Fed easing bets grow
05 December 2025 36
Period: 28.02.2026 Expectation: 7000 pips
USDJPY poised to extend its decline
05 December 2025 26
Period: 31.03.2026 Expectation: 140 pips
Investing in Brent crude with $75.5 in sight
05 December 2025 28
Period: 12.12.2025 Expectation: 935 pips
AUDCAD aims for new highs on strong fundamentals
05 December 2025 28
Period: 11.12.2025 Expectation: 450 pips
Buying natural gas on way down before next rally
04 December 2025 69
Go to forecasts