12 May 2025 | Oil

Bank of America warns OPEC+ output hikes will weigh on oil market long-term

Bank of America warns OPEC+ output hikes will weigh on oil market long-term

The oil market could soon face long-term pressure due to oversupply, according to the Bank of America analysts. They point to OPEC+’s planned production hikes, which threaten to exacerbate an already glutted market.

Alliance members agreed to boost daily crude output by 411,000 barrels in June. However, bank analysts project the actual supply increase will reach just 170,000 barrels due to overproduction by some OPEC+ members and constraints on others.

Nevertheless, the market will remain oversupplied. Bank of America projects Brent will average $62 per barrel this year, down from $80 in the previous year. Analysts caution that prices could temporarily plunge to $50 if trade tensions escalate.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese
Period: 26.07.2026 Expectation: 1600 pips
Buying AUDCAD from support level
26 June 2026 48
Period: 03.07.2026 Expectation: 1310 pips
GBPUSD is still poised for further downside
26 June 2026 30
Brent sell
Period: 03.07.2026 Expectation: 500 pips
Higher supply and weaker demand is likely to push Brent into red zone by weekend
26 June 2026 20
Period: 26.07.2026 Expectation: 3100 pips
Invest in USDCAD up to 1.45000
26 June 2026 27
Period: 02.07.2026 Expectation: 19500 pips
Selling ETHUSD with $1,585 in view following short-lived recovery
25 June 2026 41
Period: 31.07.2026 Expectation: 220 pips
Buying AUDCAD up to 0.9837
25 June 2026 25
Go to forecasts