21 May 2025 | Dollar

Citigroup predicts dollar weakness following US talks with trading partners

Citigroup predicts dollar weakness following US talks with trading partners

Citigroup Inc. strategists, led by Osamu Takashima, predict a possible weakening of the US dollar following the upcoming G7 summit. During the meeting, world leaders plan to discuss currency policy as part of trade negotiations with the United States.

Citigroup analysts believe the Trump administration will not actively seek to devalue the national currency. However, the dollar may decline as a result of reaching trade agreements with partner countries that include reductions in customs duties. Bloomberg reports that currency policy has become a key topic of the upcoming negotiations following statements from representatives of South Korea and Taiwan regarding consultations with the US side.

The bank’s strategists highlight significant risks of the dollar’s decline, particularly given the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index has already decreased by 4% since April. This weakening of the greenback has been a direct consequence of US trade policy, which has negatively impacted the dollar.

Period: 11.10.2026 Expectation: 3200 pips
Going short on AUDUSD ahead of US Fed meeting
11 September 2026 27
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 2000 pips
SPX sell-off targets $7,400
11 September 2026 22
Period: 25.09.2026 Expectation: 2800 pips
Buying Tesla stock with $390 in view
11 September 2026 43
Period: 10.10.2026 Expectation: 2500 pips
Buy AUDCAD upon breaking 1.00000
10 September 2026 30
Period: 24.10.2026 Expectation: 8500 pips
Invest in ETHUSD with $2,565 target
10 September 2026 33
Period: 23.09.2026 Expectation: 2500 pips
NVIDIA sell-off targets $200
09 September 2026 65
Go to forecasts