20 June 2025 | Oil

Chinese refiners remain upbeat amid record oil inventories

Chinese refiners remain upbeat amid record oil inventories

Despite the risks of possible supply disruptions, China's refineries, the largest buyers of Iranian oil, have not experienced significant challenges so far. One reason behind this resilience is the country's record-high oil reserve levels, with storage facilities holding approximately 1,180 million barrels, according to data from the analytical company Kayros.

Some of these reserves were built up by introducing new capacity, such as building storage facilities and upgrading refineries. However, due to lower fuel demand and refining margins, smaller local companies in the industry have reduced their capacity utilization to 45%, Mysteel OilChem reports.

Since these refineries have large reserves, they may not look for a substitute for Iranian oil in the short term, as noted by Energy Aspects analysts. At the same time, in the event of a complete loss of access to Iranian oil, some of these companies may be forced to reduce their refining volume, experts warn. Currently, alternative oil grades are not in high demand among Chinese companies.

Period: 14.11.2026 Expectation: 3500 pips
Sell Bitcoin with $75,000 in view
30 October 2026 85
Period: 14.11.2026 Expectation: 150 pips
Go short on SPX down to $7,500
30 October 2026 109
Brent sell
Period: 29.11.2026 Expectation: 450 pips
Brent crude sell-off targets $105
29 October 2026 84
Period: 12.11.2026 Expectation: 28000 pips
Go long on NVIDIA stock up to $243
29 October 2026 89
Period: 28.11.2026 Expectation: 130 pips
Invest in SPX with 7,850 in view
28 October 2026 116
Period: 28.11.2026 Expectation: 4200 pips
Selling EURUSD down to 1.07000
28 October 2026 133
Go to forecasts