According to a recent report from Moody's Investors Service, aggregate upstream spending will gradually increase by about 10-15% in the coming year. Nevertheless, overall spending will remain below 2016–2019 levels.
More than half of the additional spending in 2023 will go only to cover cost inflation, leaving relatively little capital for volume growth.
The company analyst also mentioned the restriction of any upstream businesses. That change is inevitable due to several factors. First and foremost are rising oilfield service costs around the world, lingering supply chain delays, and a tight labor market in the U.S.
According to a chart included in the report showing upstream capital spending from 2015 to 2023, investment this year is expected to be between 460 billion and 480 billion U.S. currencies. That's projected to be $417 billion last year, $384 billion in 2021, and $353 billion in 2020.