Markets are waiting for a dovish reverse from the Federal Reserve System (Fed) this year, although there have been no signals yet. As a consequence, investor interest in gold and silver has been rising since November.
Inflation will gradually slow in case Treasury yields and the dollar continue to decline. This will lead to a slow worsening of economic data and a continuation of improving confidence in gold as a safe-haven asset.
If the lockdowns end in 2023, China will recover its previous production regime. With adaptive monetary policy, this would accelerate the recovery of industrial metals and would encourage silver to rally further.