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UBS raises outlook for S&P 500 and expects it to rise nearly 10% through mid-2026

Analysts at UBS raised their targets for the S&P 500 index from 5,800 to 6,000 and set a June 2026 target of 6,400. Favorable first-quarter corporate earnings and hopes for stronger US GDP growth in the second half of the year contributed to the upgrade.

Yesterday at 9:38 AM
European banks warn of underestimated risks to US stock market

Strategists at UBS Group AG and HSBC Holdings Plc expressed concerns about the US stock market, warning of a possible decline in the S&P 500 by 8% to 5,300. European experts point in their forecasts to the deteriorating indicators of US economic activity.

26 March
European banks warn of underestimated risks to US stock market
Reuters: S&P 500 on track for first quarterly loss since 2023

According to Reuters, US stocks closed slightly higher yesterday. The S&P 500 index rose 0.16%, though it remains down about 2% year-to-date and is on track for its first quarterly loss since mid-2023.

26 March
Reuters: S&P 500 on track for first quarterly loss since 2023
Goldman Sachs expert says US stocks will retain their popularity among international investors

According to David J. Kostin, chief US equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, international investors will keep buying US stocks despite the recent market plunge and the deteriorating growth outlook for the American economy.

25 March
Goldman Sachs expert says US stocks will retain their popularity among international investors
S&P 500 holds on to earlier gains on more measured US approach to tariff policy

As reported by the Economic Times, the S&P 500 is holding steady on Tuesday after a sharp surge a day earlier. The index rose as Nvidia and Tesla shares rallied following signs that US President Donald Trump's administration will take a more measured approach to tariff policy.

25 March
S&P 500 holds on to earlier gains on more measured US approach to tariff policy
CNN Business: investor confidence in the US stock market wanes

The share of US stocks on Wall Street has hit a record low since 1999, while the share of European securities has risen, according to a Bank of America survey. Investor confidence in US stock markets has weakened due to President Donald Trump's trade policies.

24 March
CNN Business: investor confidence in the US stock market wanes
Bloomberg: US data fuels S&P 500 options volatility concerns

As Bloomberg notes, investors expect greater volatility in S&P 500 options before the release of new economic data. This signals a higher demand for protection against market swings.

24 March
Bloomberg: US data fuels S&P 500 options volatility concerns
United States. CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions. The value of the indicator has decreased from 80.6K to 68.3K

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of S&P 500.

21 March
Yahoo Finance: Fed actions drive S&P 500 down 0.2%

US stocks edged lower as investors weighed mixed signals from the Federal Reserve, Yahoo Finance reported. Specifically, the S&P 500 dropped by 0.2%, the Dow Jones fell by 0.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite decreased by 0.3%.

21 March
Yahoo Finance: Fed actions drive S&P 500 down 0.2%
US stocks decline as markets assess economic and tariff prospects

On Thursday, the US stock market closed slightly lower, wavering between gains and losses as investors assessed the latest economic data and policy statements from the US Federal Reserve amid concerns over tariffs.

21 March
US stocks decline as markets assess economic and tariff prospects
S&P 500 Index rallies as Fed keeps key rates on hold

US stocks rallied sharply this week after the Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates steady in March. The S&P 500 Index was among the top daily gainers.

20 March
S&P 500 Index rallies as Fed keeps key rates on hold

The S&P 500 Index (Standard & Poor's 500) is one of the key indicators of the US stock market and overall economic health of the United States. It represents the stock performance of the country's leading corporations. This stock market instrument reflects the dynamics of different sectors and serves as a universal benchmark for investors and analysts.

Major factors that determine the value of S&P 500:

  • Macroeconomic situation, i.e. the Federal Reserve's monetary policy plans, inflation rate, GDP growth rate, and employment figures. These parameters have a direct impact on the stock market.
  • Financial statements reflecting the profits and revenue of major companies, stock performance of which is represented by the index. Strong results support the growth of quotations, while weak results contribute to their decline.
  • Political environment, which includes the tax system, the level of government debt, and monetary reforms. Geopolitical events and government decisions also influence the behavior of traders.
  • Market sentiment; the movement of this stock market index is largely determined by investors' expectations, their appetite for risk, and the strategies of major funds.
  • Technology sector, especially regarding the development of new technologies, impact of IT companies and their role in the economy.

The S&P 500 is often seen as a gauge of US financial health. Its growth suggests positive expectations and investor confidence, while a decrease may signal risks of recession or crisis.

This index is used for both long-term investing and short-term trading. To forecast its movement accurately, it's necessary to take into account macroeconomic data, corporate reporting, and the overall state of the stock market.