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Morgan Stanley keeps its bullish outlook for US stocks

On Monday, Morgan Stanley strategists led by Michael Wilson reiterated their bullish stance on US equities, citing strong earnings growth. According to their scenario, the S&P 500 will reach 7,200 points by the middle of next year.

22 July
United States. CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions. The value of the indicator has increased from -96.6K to -53K

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of S&P 500.

30 May
Bloomberg forecasts weak S&P 500 growth in June after May's 6.2% surge

As of Thursday, May 29, the S&P 500 index gained 6.2% over the month. This is one of the strongest results for May since 1990, according to Bloomberg. Such a confident rise would contrast with weak dynamics in June, the news agency's experts predict.

30 May
Bloomberg forecasts weak S&P 500 growth in June after May's 6.2% surge
US stocks decline amid uncertainty over Trump's tariffs

Bloomberg reports that US stocks fell on Thursday as investors weighed legal challenges to President Donald Trump's tariffs. The S&P 500 index dropped 0.2%, and the Nasdaq 100 fell 0.3%. The VIX volatility index briefly exceeded 20 before retreating.

30 May
US stocks decline amid uncertainty over Trump's tariffs
Reuters poll targets S&P 500 at around 5,900 by end of 2025

Between May 15 and 28, Reuters surveyed market participants about the S&P 500’s projected value at the end of 2025. According to their average estimate, the index will be trading near current levels at around 5,900 points by December.

29 May
Reuters poll targets S&P 500 at around 5,900 by end of 2025
US stocks finished down as investors focused on Nvidia’s first quarter results

US stocks declined at the end of trading on Wednesday, breaking two consecutive sessions of gains, as investors were weighing Nvidia's quarterly results. The semiconductor producer was the last of the "Magnificent 7" tech companies to report earnings this season.

29 May
US stocks finished down as investors focused on Nvidia’s first quarter results
US stocks stabilize ahead of Nvidia's earnings reports

On Wednesday, May 28, US stock prices remain steady as investors await the release of reports from chip giant Nvidia, which are expected to provide clarity on the impact of restrictions on exports to China.

28 May
US stocks stabilize ahead of Nvidia's earnings reports
US trade and fiscal policies amplify bearish trends in stock market — Citigroup

According to Citigroup, investor positioning in American equities has turned more cautious. The growing bearish sentiment reflects uncertainty surrounding both trade and fiscal policies of the US administration.

28 May
US trade and fiscal policies amplify bearish trends in stock market — Citigroup
S&P 500 climbs on easing US–EU trade worries

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 surged by over 1%, extending Monday's gains after US President Donald Trump delayed the imposition of import tariffs on EU goods, Bloomberg reports.

27 May
S&P 500 climbs on easing US–EU trade worries
BBVA strategists expect S&P 500 to rally on publication of Nvidia's positive earnings report

After last week's decline in the S&P 500 index, markets are focusing on Nvidia's report. One of the leading companies in the technology sector is due to release its earnings for Q1 2025 on Wednesday. If the data is positive, BBVA strategists predict another rise in American stocks.

27 May
BBVA strategists expect S&P 500 to rally on publication of Nvidia's positive earnings report
Retail investors snapped up $7.5 billion worth of US stocks last week

A note from RBC Capital Markets strategist Amy Wu Silverman indicates that private investor inflows into ETFs exceeded $50 billion from April 8 to April 15. Though the pace of US stock purchases slowed following the significant market sell-off, these players still acquired $7.5 billion last week.

27 May
Retail investors snapped up $7.5 billion worth of US stocks last week

The S&P 500 Index (Standard & Poor's 500) is one of the key indicators of the US stock market and overall economic health of the United States. It represents the stock performance of the country's leading corporations. This stock market instrument reflects the dynamics of different sectors and serves as a universal benchmark for investors and analysts.

Major factors that determine the value of S&P 500:

  • Macroeconomic situation, i.e. the Federal Reserve's monetary policy plans, inflation rate, GDP growth rate, and employment figures. These parameters have a direct impact on the stock market.
  • Financial statements reflecting the profits and revenue of major companies, stock performance of which is represented by the index. Strong results support the growth of quotations, while weak results contribute to their decline.
  • Political environment, which includes the tax system, the level of government debt, and monetary reforms. Geopolitical events and government decisions also influence the behavior of traders.
  • Market sentiment; the movement of this stock market index is largely determined by investors' expectations, their appetite for risk, and the strategies of major funds.
  • Technology sector, especially regarding the development of new technologies, impact of IT companies and their role in the economy.

The S&P 500 is often seen as a gauge of US financial health. Its growth suggests positive expectations and investor confidence, while a decrease may signal risks of recession or crisis.

This index is used for both long-term investing and short-term trading. To forecast its movement accurately, it's necessary to take into account macroeconomic data, corporate reporting, and the overall state of the stock market.