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Morgan Stanley sees mild US recession potentially bullish for S&P 500

Concerns about a US recession have eased recently. However, according to Morgan Stanley strategists, a downturn in the country's economy is still possible. A potential recession within the next 12 months would likely be mild and could support the stock market.

3 June 2025
Morgan Stanley sees mild US recession potentially bullish for S&P 500
United States. ISM Manufacturing PMI. The value of the indicator has decreased from 48.7 to 48.5

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of USD.

2 June 2025
Coinotag analysts suggest bitcoin could potentially fall to $100,000

Cryptocurrency market experts are closely monitoring bitcoin (BTC) price dynamics ahead of the weekly market close, Coinotag reports. According to fresh data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro, the BTCUSD currency pair is approaching the $105,000 threshold set earlier in the period.

2 June 2025
Coinotag analysts suggest bitcoin could potentially fall to $100,000
Trump's plans to tighten US tariff policy intensify dollar decline — Reuters

On Monday, both the US dollar and the US stock market dropped amid escalating tariff disputes between America and China. Late last week, Donald Trump announced a possible increase in steel and aluminum import tariffs effective June 4, Reuters notes.

2 June 2025
Trump's plans to tighten US tariff policy intensify dollar decline — Reuters
Bank of America says investors remain long on euro

According to the Bank of America (BofA) model, market participants remain bearish on the dollar, particularly against the euro and the British pound.

2 June 2025
Bank of America says investors remain long on euro
Low open interest in gold suggests its undervaluation — TDS

Gold may seem overbought to traders right now, but it’s actually under-owned. This is evident from the extremely low total open interest on the CME, which is hovering near multi-year lows at just 425,000 contracts, according to TDS’s Daniel Ghali.

2 June 2025
Low open interest in gold suggests its undervaluation — TDS
CFTC data indicate increased bets on yen appreciation among asset managers

Despite the market participants' uncertainty about the Japanese currency's outlook, asset managers remain optimistic. According to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), their bullish bets on the yen rose by 3,218 contracts in the week ending May 27.

2 June 2025
CFTC data indicate increased bets on yen appreciation among asset managers
Saudi Arabia tightens control over OPEC+ by sharply increasing oil output

Saudi Arabia secured an agreement from all OPEC+ countries for a third consecutive significant increase in oil production, despite resistance from Russia and its allies. The kingdom decided to lower energy prices to influence quota violators and regain its share of the global market.

2 June 2025
Saudi Arabia tightens control over OPEC+ by sharply increasing oil output
Bitcoin and Ethereum reserves on exchanges fall to record lows — The Cryptocurrency Press

According to The Cryptocurrency Press, major trading platforms have recorded a historic drop in Bitcoin and Ethereum reserves. Expert Crypto Rover explains that by reducing the number of coins available for trading, investors are creating conditions that could drive up their value.

2 June 2025
Bitcoin and Ethereum reserves on exchanges fall to record lows — The Cryptocurrency Press
European Union. Manufacturing PMI. The value of the indicator has increased from 48.4 to 49.4

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

2 June 2025

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The world of business and finance is constantly changing. What trends and directions are relevant today? The answer to this question is key to successfully navigating in a trading and investment environment and better assessing the risks involved.

Global events and economic policies

The global economy can be greatly impacted by major events, causing stock markets and exchange rates to plummet. The repercussions of one nation's crisis may extend to other countries, creating a butterfly effect with far-reaching consequences. While these events may be frightening for some, traders and investors use them as a chance to generate profits amidst a crisis.

Financial institutions and their role

Financial institutions act as intermediaries between borrowers and lenders. This group typically includes banks, as well as non-bank organizations such as pension funds, insurance companies, credit unions, and pawnshops. By supporting global trade, business growth, and job opportunities, these institutions play a crucial role in maintaining a stable and thriving economy.

Government and Economy

All governments serve as regulators for businesses, both domestically and internationally. The economic policies implemented by separate states have a significant impact on their currency exchange rates and living expenses.

Investment and Risks

Market players are always looking for tools and opportunities to make a profitable investment, which is accompanied by some risks. This is where capital management comes into play, with the goal of minimizing losses and maximizing profits

By closely monitoring worldwide events and economic strategies of the top nations, traders and investors can make well-informed decisions in the financial world