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Oil prices go down amid concerns over impact of trade frictions on fuel consumption

On Tuesday, oil prices are declining due to pressure from concerns over escalating trade tensions. Market participants are worried about the impact of increasing friction between the US and EU on economic activity and fuel demand.

22 July 2025
Escalating tensions in Middle East drive up oil prices

Tensions in the Middle East are heightening concerns among oil market participants, RBC reports. Previously, traders feared an oversupply, but now they are alarmed by the potential loss of up to 90% of Iranian oil exports. The risk of disruptions in crude supplies has led to higher prices.

16 June 2025
Escalating tensions in Middle East drive up oil prices
US opposes lower Russian oil price — Bloomberg

According to Bloomberg sources, the US government maintains its stance and refuses to lower the price cap on Russian oil sales. This position dampens the EU's hopes for reaching an agreement to reduce the cost of Russian energy supplies during the upcoming G7 summit in Canada.

16 June 2025
US opposes lower Russian oil price — Bloomberg
Tensions between Iran and Israel heighten fears of oil supply disruptions

Two years of escalating tensions in the Middle East have made oil traders increasingly wary of supply disruptions. While energy flows remained stable even during past regional conflicts, the latest rift between Iran and Israel is once again rattling market confidence, Bloomberg reports.

16 June 2025
Tensions between Iran and Israel heighten fears of oil supply disruptions
United States. CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions. The value of the indicator has increased from 168K to 191.9K

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of WTI, Brent.

13 June 2025
United States. U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count. The value of the indicator has decreased from 442 to 439

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of WTI, Brent.

13 June 2025
United States. U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count. The value of the indicator has decreased from 559 to 555

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of NG, WTI, Brent.

13 June 2025
United States. Crude Oil Inventories. The value of the indicator has increased from -4.304M to -3.644M

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of WTI, Brent.

11 June 2025
United States. Cushing Crude Oil Inventories. The value of the indicator has decreased from 0.576M to -0.403M

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of WTI, Brent.

11 June 2025
Kazakhstan may not cut oil exports despite OPEC+ quotas — Bloomberg

Kazakhstan continues to ramp up oil exports, ignoring its commitments to OPEC+. According to Bloomberg, citing four traders familiar with the situation, CPC Blend crude supplies through the Russian port of Novorossiysk may reach a record 1.75 million barrels per day in July.

11 June 2025
Kazakhstan may not cut oil exports despite OPEC+ quotas — Bloomberg
OPEC Secretary General voiced expectations of continuing oil demand growth in future

During his speech at the Global Energy Show in Canada on Tuesday, OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais said that oil demand growth is expected to continue for at least the next 25 years.

11 June 2025
OPEC Secretary General voiced expectations of continuing oil demand growth in future

News on oil prices is not just information for specialists. This is an important signal for every experienced trader. This section of the website will help you understand when there’s a "Strong buy" signal for oil and when it is a "Strong sell" signal.

Oil price movements are more than just charts on a screen. It is one of the key drivers of the global economy. Understanding these dynamics helps in making rational decisions and adapting to changes.

What determines oil prices?

  • Global events. Political crises, conflicts, and agreements between producing countries have a huge impact on oil prices.
  • Supply and demand. When many consumers try to buy oil that is in deficit – the prices go up. Otherwise, when supply is greater than demand, the prices go down.
  • Russia and Saudi Arabia. These countries are among the leading oil producers. Their decisions on oil output have a direct impact on the global market.
  • OPEC. This is a group of oil-producing countries. Their agreements on production cuts are aided at stabilizing prices.
  • Alternative energy sources. The development of solar, wind, and other power stations can weaken the countries' dependence on oil and put pressure on its prices.
  • Electric cars. The increasing popularity of electric cars reduces the need for gasoline and, consequently, for crude oil.
  • Global tensions. Oil is a strategic resource. Geopolitical events can affect its production and prices.
  • Environmental constraints. Rising environmental awareness may reduce demand for oil, affecting its price.

Why follow the latest oil news?

  • To make informed investment decisions. Being aware of the oil industry news helps you make conscious choices.
  • To assess the impact on the economy. Oil prices can affect inflation, economic growth, and even our wages.