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Oil prices go down amid concerns over impact of trade frictions on fuel consumption

On Tuesday, oil prices are declining due to pressure from concerns over escalating trade tensions. Market participants are worried about the impact of increasing friction between the US and EU on economic activity and fuel demand.

22 July
Russian oil exports grow due to return of earlier restricted vessels

Bloomberg reports that oil exports from Russia have increased over the past two weeks. Nearly half of the tankers that were previously subject to Western restrictions are now transporting Russian crude again.

30 April
Russian oil exports grow due to return of earlier restricted vessels
Oil prices fall on concerns over weakening demand

Oil prices extended losses on Wednesday as growing concerns about slowing global economic growth and weaker fuel demand continued to drag the market down. According to Reuters, uncertainty over US tariff policy is putting pressure on prices.

30 April
Oil prices fall on concerns over weakening demand
United States. API Weekly Crude Oil Stock. The value of the indicator has increased from -4.565M to 3.76M

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of WTI, Brent.

29 April
Indian companies buy more American crude due to lower prices

According to Kpler data, India is set to import approximately 11.2 million barrels of US crude in June, the highest monthly volume since last August.

29 April
Indian companies buy more American crude due to lower prices
China ignores risks of confrontation with US and steadily replenishes oil reserves — FT

The Financial Times (FT) reports that Chinese oil traders are betting on cheap crude, disregarding the long-term risks of a trade confrontation with the United States.

29 April
China ignores risks of confrontation with US and steadily replenishes oil reserves — FT
Rarest oil price trends signal future demand surplus — Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley reports that the global oil market is currently experiencing a unique scenario. While fuel prices indicate a short-term supply shortage, they also point to a significant demand surplus in the long run.

29 April
Rarest oil price trends signal future demand surplus — Morgan Stanley
India increases Russian ESPO crude purchases in spring 2025

According to LSEG data, India increased its purchases of Russian ESPO light crude in April to the highest level since last August. The surge is attributed to weak demand from China, the main consumer of ESPO.

29 April
India increases Russian ESPO crude purchases in spring 2025
Barclays lowers its Brent crude price outlook for 2025

Barclays has cut its forecast for Brent crude prices this year by $4 to $70 per barrel, with the grade expected to reach as low as $62 in 2026. The analysts cite trade tensions and OPEC+’s shift in the output.

29 April
Barclays lowers its Brent crude price outlook for 2025
Oil falls on lower demand outlook

Oil slipped during early Asian trading on Tuesday. Investors cut their crude demand outlook due to the ongoing trade confrontation between the US and China, the world’s leading economies.

29 April
Oil falls on lower demand outlook
China increased its crude oil inventories in March amid falling prices

In March, Chinese refineries processed the largest volume of oil in a year. However, crude inventories rose to their highest level in almost three years due to increased imports. China's crude oil glut in March was the highest since mid-2023, at 1.74 million barrels per day (bpd).

28 April
China increased its crude oil inventories in March amid falling prices

News on oil prices is not just information for specialists. This is an important signal for every experienced trader. This section of the website will help you understand when there’s a "Strong buy" signal for oil and when it is a "Strong sell" signal.

Oil price movements are more than just charts on a screen. It is one of the key drivers of the global economy. Understanding these dynamics helps in making rational decisions and adapting to changes.

What determines oil prices?

  • Global events. Political crises, conflicts, and agreements between producing countries have a huge impact on oil prices.
  • Supply and demand. When many consumers try to buy oil that is in deficit – the prices go up. Otherwise, when supply is greater than demand, the prices go down.
  • Russia and Saudi Arabia. These countries are among the leading oil producers. Their decisions on oil output have a direct impact on the global market.
  • OPEC. This is a group of oil-producing countries. Their agreements on production cuts are aided at stabilizing prices.
  • Alternative energy sources. The development of solar, wind, and other power stations can weaken the countries' dependence on oil and put pressure on its prices.
  • Electric cars. The increasing popularity of electric cars reduces the need for gasoline and, consequently, for crude oil.
  • Global tensions. Oil is a strategic resource. Geopolitical events can affect its production and prices.
  • Environmental constraints. Rising environmental awareness may reduce demand for oil, affecting its price.

Why follow the latest oil news?

  • To make informed investment decisions. Being aware of the oil industry news helps you make conscious choices.
  • To assess the impact on the economy. Oil prices can affect inflation, economic growth, and even our wages.