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Oil prices go down amid concerns over impact of trade frictions on fuel consumption

On Tuesday, oil prices are declining due to pressure from concerns over escalating trade tensions. Market participants are worried about the impact of increasing friction between the US and EU on economic activity and fuel demand.

22 July 2025
OPEC+ agrees to raise its oil output by 548,000 barrels per day in August

OPEC+ has agreed to raise its oil output by another 548,000 barrels per day (bpd) in August. Meanwhile, monthly hikes were 411,000 bpd between May and July and 138,000 bpd in April.

7 July 2025
OPEC+ agrees to raise its oil output by 548,000 barrels per day in August
United States. OPEC Crude oil Production UAE (Barrel). The value of the indicator has increased from 2.94M to 3.04M

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of WTI, Brent.

4 July 2025
United States. OPEC Crude oil Production Saudi Arabia (Barrel). The value of the indicator has increased from 9.1M to 9.3M

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of WTI, Brent.

4 July 2025
China refrains from buying US oil for 3 months — Bloomberg

According to Bloomberg, China has refrained from purchasing American crude oil for three consecutive months. This marks the longest period without Chinese energy purchases from the US since 2018. These developments have become an additional pressure factor for oil producers.

4 July 2025
China refrains from buying US oil for 3 months — Bloomberg
Barclays raises Brent crude price forecast to $72 per barrel for 2025

On Thursday, Barclays raised its Brent crude price forecast by $6 to $72 per barrel for 2025 and by $10 to $70 per barrel for 2026, citing expected demand growth. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have eased, and the risk premium has disappeared.

4 July 2025
Barclays raises Brent crude price forecast to $72 per barrel for 2025
Number of drilling rigs in US declines over ten consecutive weeks — Baker Hughes

According to Baker Hughes' weekly report released on Thursday, US energy companies reduced the number of active oil and gas drilling rigs for the tenth week in a row. The total rig count dropped by 8 to 539.

4 July 2025
Number of drilling rigs in US declines over ten consecutive weeks — Baker Hughes
Alberta's oil production drops to two-year low in May

Alberta's crude production fell to its lowest level in two years in May, as wildfires and maintenance work reduced output from the oil sands. According to Bloomberg, crude output in Canada's Alberta province fell by 397,000 barrels to 3.61 million barrels per day in May.

4 July 2025
Alberta's oil production drops to two-year low in May
United States. U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count. The value of the indicator has decreased from 547 to 539

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of NG, WTI, Brent.

3 July 2025
United States. U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count. The value of the indicator has decreased from 432 to 425

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of WTI, Brent.

3 July 2025
Oil markets will easily absorb extra OPEC+ barrels — Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered predicts the group will announce one final 411,000 barrel-per-day production increase at its August meeting. Oil markets will easily absorb extra supply in the short term.

3 July 2025
Oil markets will easily absorb extra OPEC+ barrels — Standard Chartered

News on oil prices is not just information for specialists. This is an important signal for every experienced trader. This section of the website will help you understand when there’s a "Strong buy" signal for oil and when it is a "Strong sell" signal.

Oil price movements are more than just charts on a screen. It is one of the key drivers of the global economy. Understanding these dynamics helps in making rational decisions and adapting to changes.

What determines oil prices?

  • Global events. Political crises, conflicts, and agreements between producing countries have a huge impact on oil prices.
  • Supply and demand. When many consumers try to buy oil that is in deficit – the prices go up. Otherwise, when supply is greater than demand, the prices go down.
  • Russia and Saudi Arabia. These countries are among the leading oil producers. Their decisions on oil output have a direct impact on the global market.
  • OPEC. This is a group of oil-producing countries. Their agreements on production cuts are aided at stabilizing prices.
  • Alternative energy sources. The development of solar, wind, and other power stations can weaken the countries' dependence on oil and put pressure on its prices.
  • Electric cars. The increasing popularity of electric cars reduces the need for gasoline and, consequently, for crude oil.
  • Global tensions. Oil is a strategic resource. Geopolitical events can affect its production and prices.
  • Environmental constraints. Rising environmental awareness may reduce demand for oil, affecting its price.

Why follow the latest oil news?

  • To make informed investment decisions. Being aware of the oil industry news helps you make conscious choices.
  • To assess the impact on the economy. Oil prices can affect inflation, economic growth, and even our wages.