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Oil prices go down amid concerns over impact of trade frictions on fuel consumption

On Tuesday, oil prices are declining due to pressure from concerns over escalating trade tensions. Market participants are worried about the impact of increasing friction between the US and EU on economic activity and fuel demand.

22 July 2025
Iraq to cut oil exports in May to meet OPEC+ quota

Iraq plans to cut its oil exports by 100,000 barrels per day (bpd), according to Bloomberg, citing an informed source. The decision to reduce supply to 3.2 million bpd comes amid pressure from OPEC+, which is pushing member countries to comply with production limits.

17 April 2025
Iraq to cut oil exports in May to meet OPEC+ quota
OPEC+ efforts to compensate for exceeding oil production quotas still insufficient – Bloomberg

The latest data on global oil output, analyzed by Bloomberg, indicates the lack of success of OPEC+ member countries in compensating for exceeding quotas on crude production.

17 April 2025
OPEC+ efforts to compensate for exceeding oil production quotas still insufficient – Bloomberg
Oil prices rise under pressure from US move to cut Iranian exports

Oil prices are rising for a second consecutive day after the US pledged to reduce Iranian energy exports to zero. Brent crude climbed above $66 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate rose to around $62.50.

17 April 2025
Oil prices rise under pressure from US move to cut Iranian exports
United States. Crude Oil Inventories. The value of the indicator has decreased from 2.553M to 0.515M

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of WTI, Brent.

16 April 2025
United States. Cushing Crude Oil Inventories. The value of the indicator has decreased from 0.681M to -0.654M

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of WTI, Brent.

16 April 2025
HSBC trims oil price forecast for 2025 and 2026

HSBC has lowered its oil price forecast this week, citing US President Donald Trump's trade policies and crude production hikes by OPEC+. The revised estimates suggest that Brent oil prices will be $68.5 per barrel this year and $65 per barrel next year.

16 April 2025
HSBC trims oil price forecast for 2025 and 2026
Iraq cuts target oil price in federal budget amid market slump

On Tuesday, financial adviser to Iraq's prime minister Mudher Saleh said the target price of oil in the federal budget for 2025 to be lowered from the last year's $80 per barrel. At the start of this year, the decision was delayed due to negotiations with oil companies.

16 April 2025
Iraq cuts target oil price in federal budget amid market slump
Oil prices remain flat as markets assess impact of trade tensions

Oil prices were little changed early on Wednesday. A shift in US President Donald Trump’s tariff policy added to market uncertainty. Besides, investors are assessing the potential impact of trade tensions between the US and China on energy consumption.

16 April 2025
Oil prices remain flat as markets assess impact of trade tensions
United States. API Weekly Crude Oil Stock. The value of the indicator has increased from -1.057M to 2.4M

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of WTI, Brent.

15 April 2025
IEA downgrades oil market outlook in April report

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has implemented significant downward revisions to its oil demand projections, reducing near-term growth estimates by 29.13% and anticipating a further 5.48% decline in 2026.

15 April 2025
IEA downgrades oil market outlook in April report

News on oil prices is not just information for specialists. This is an important signal for every experienced trader. This section of the website will help you understand when there’s a "Strong buy" signal for oil and when it is a "Strong sell" signal.

Oil price movements are more than just charts on a screen. It is one of the key drivers of the global economy. Understanding these dynamics helps in making rational decisions and adapting to changes.

What determines oil prices?

  • Global events. Political crises, conflicts, and agreements between producing countries have a huge impact on oil prices.
  • Supply and demand. When many consumers try to buy oil that is in deficit – the prices go up. Otherwise, when supply is greater than demand, the prices go down.
  • Russia and Saudi Arabia. These countries are among the leading oil producers. Their decisions on oil output have a direct impact on the global market.
  • OPEC. This is a group of oil-producing countries. Their agreements on production cuts are aided at stabilizing prices.
  • Alternative energy sources. The development of solar, wind, and other power stations can weaken the countries' dependence on oil and put pressure on its prices.
  • Electric cars. The increasing popularity of electric cars reduces the need for gasoline and, consequently, for crude oil.
  • Global tensions. Oil is a strategic resource. Geopolitical events can affect its production and prices.
  • Environmental constraints. Rising environmental awareness may reduce demand for oil, affecting its price.

Why follow the latest oil news?

  • To make informed investment decisions. Being aware of the oil industry news helps you make conscious choices.
  • To assess the impact on the economy. Oil prices can affect inflation, economic growth, and even our wages.