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A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of USD.

7 July
Donald Trump plans to impose tariffs on other countries within weeks

Within the next two or three weeks, Donald Trump plans to enact more tariffs on key US trading partners, citing his administration's inability to negotiate deals with all nations simultaneously.

16 May 2025
Donald Trump plans to impose tariffs on other countries within weeks
Fed's Raphael Bostic forecasts one rate cut and no recession in US in 2025

Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic announced his expectations for a slowdown in the US economy this year, but not a recession. He also anticipates just one interest rate cut in 2025.

16 May 2025
Fed's Raphael Bostic forecasts one rate cut and no recession in US in 2025
Barclays sees US recession risk fading due to warming relations with China

Barclays has revised its US economic growth forecast upward, ruling out the possibility of a year-end recession. The bank's decision comes as trade tensions between Washington and Beijing ease.

16 May 2025
Barclays sees US recession risk fading due to warming relations with China
US manufacturing shows decline amid trade restrictions

The US manufacturing sector showed a decline in April, interrupting a six-month positive trend, Bloomberg reports. According to the Federal Reserve System, production decreased by 0.4% due to an increase in import duties.

16 May 2025
US manufacturing shows decline amid trade restrictions
Fed's Barr warned of trade policy risks to small businesses and supply chains

Michael Barr, a member of the Fed’s Board of Governors, voiced a cautionary note at a symposium for small businesses, underscoring the potential pitfalls of trade policy on the nation's economic landscape, as reported by Reuters.

16 May 2025
Fed's Barr warned of trade policy risks to small businesses and supply chains
US producer price index unexpectedly declined in April amid rising business costs

In April, the US Producer Price Index (PPI) fell at its fastest rate in five years. According to Bloomberg, this suggests that businesses are absorbing some of the hit from tariff hikes by cutting into their own profits.

16 May 2025
US producer price index unexpectedly declined in April amid rising business costs
US retail sales plunged in April following March surge ahead of tariffs

US retail sales slowed in April as President Donald Trump’s tariffs weighed on American consumers, who pulled forward some of their spending into March ahead of the duties, Yahoo Finance reports.

16 May 2025
US retail sales plunged in April following March surge ahead of tariffs
Dollar slides on bets of more Federal Reserve rate cuts — Reuters

The dollar is sliding on Friday as the US economic data release has fueled expectations of more monetary easing by the Federal Reserve. Markets are now pricing in a 56-basis-point reduction by December, up from 49 points expected the day before.

16 May 2025
Dollar slides on bets of more Federal Reserve rate cuts — Reuters
Fed needs to revise US jobs and inflation strategy to stabilize economy — Powell

US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell has stated the central bank should rethink its approach to fostering employment and controlling inflation in response to evolving economic conditions.

16 May 2025
Fed needs to revise US jobs and inflation strategy to stabilize economy — Powell
United States. Atlanta Fed GDPNow. The value of the indicator has increased from 2.3% to 2.5%

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of USD.

15 May 2025

The dollar is the monetary unit of the United States (US). It is also used as the official currency by some other countries (Ecuador, Zimbabwe, El Salvador). The dollar holds a leading position in the world economy.

At the moment, the dollar dominates the system of international settlements with almost 50% share (the euro ranks second with less than 25%). Meanwhile, the dollar's dominance is even more pronounced in the financial sector, on the foreign exchange market, and in the government reserves.

The US currency (USD) quotes, as well as those of its foreign counterparts, depend primarily on the economic and political situation in the issuing country. The US authorities, such as the Federal Reserve System (the Fed) and the Department of the Treasury, influence the dollar exchange rate by changing their monetary, fiscal, budget, and tax policies. 

Moreover, the value of the dollar may be significantly affected by the latest news and the international situation. Global economic problems and rising geopolitical tensions have historically been favorable for the US currency, as investors consider it one of the major safe-haven assets, along with gold. In contrast, during periods of strong economic growth and a relatively calm global environment, the demand for the dollar tend to reduce.