30 November 2022 | Other

Arbitrage trading fading in Japan and overnight rates falling

The value of overnight yen loans has fallen to its lowest level in more than six years. Such a decline is seen because of the restriction on profitable arbitrage trades by Japanese lenders. Thus, the reduction of the central bank's stimulus measures for the crisis-hit enterprises has led to a decline in Japan's markets.

According to the CB, the rate fell to about -0.08% on Tuesday, the lowest since April 2016. Earlier in March, the -0.004% was reached when lenders were forced to borrow in order to profit from a pandemic support program for firms.

Naomi Muguruma, chief fixed-income strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group in Tokyo, said the decline in Covid's balance sheet operations was a major factor in the drop for the one-day interest rate. The demand for financing fell as arbitrage trading declined.

The Bank of Japan's outstanding pandemic funding transactions peaked at 86.8 trillion yen ($626 billion) in March, but the figure has since fallen another 88%.

Company MarketCheese
Period: 10.04.2026 Expectation: 150 pips
Purchasing SPX with 6,700 in sight
Yesterday at 11:23 AM 19
Period: 31.03.2026 Expectation: 5000 pips
Selling ETHUSD down to support line
Yesterday at 10:18 AM 22
Gold sell
Period: 02.04.2026 Expectation: 300 pips
Gold selloff targets $4,150 as buying power fades away
Yesterday at 10:15 AM 21
Period: 02.04.2026 Expectation: 1400 pips
Selling USDJPY with 158.00 target upon testing resistance
Yesterday at 07:14 AM 16
Period: 31.07.2026 Expectation: 3400 pips
Investing in AUDUSD up to 0.6770
Yesterday at 03:44 AM 12
Period: 31.08.2026 Expectation: 1500 pips
Investing in AUDCAD from 0.9540
Yesterday at 03:44 AM 12
Go to forecasts