30 April 2025 | Euro

German economy avoids recession as unemployment rises to ten-year high

German economy avoids recession as unemployment rises to ten-year high

The German economy grew in the first quarter of 2025, avoiding a recession. However, the country's unemployment rate reached a ten-year high.

According to preliminary data from the Federal Statistical Office, the country's GDP climbed 0.2% in the first three months of the year compared to the previous quarter. Meanwhile, the seasonally adjusted number of unemployed people increased by 4,000, reaching 2.92 million. This is the first time in 10 years that the number of jobless people in Germany has approached the 3 million mark. The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate climbed to 6.3%, up from 6.2% the previous month.

Experts polled by Reuters said that rising consumption is key to preventing further deterioration of Germany's economic situation. However, two years of recession and a steady flow of worrying news do not contribute to improving consumer sentiment in the country, analysts at Hamburg Commercial Bank say.

For example, retail sales data for March showed a 0.2% decline. Additionally, Reuters emphasizes that the increase in import prices indicates a possible future rise in inflation.

Elena Dorokhina MarketCheese
Period: 23.11.2026 Expectation: 170 pips
Buy Brent crude with $120 in sight
23 October 2026 27
Gold sell
Period: 06.11.2026 Expectation: 120 pips
Gold sell-off targets $3,890
23 October 2026 25
Period: 22.11.2026 Expectation: 145 pips
Invest in S&P 500 with 7,845 in mind
22 October 2026 42
Period: 22.11.2026 Expectation: 2400 pips
Sell Bitcoin down to $80,500
22 October 2026 35
Period: 04.11.2026 Expectation: 2700 pips
Go long on NVIDIA stock with $243 in view
21 October 2026 58
Period: 04.11.2026 Expectation: 1300 pips
EURUSD sell-off targets 1.0000
21 October 2026 52
Go to forecasts